The Daily BriefPublished on EGF: 12.09.2017 Essential ReadingCrossing the Line of Actual Control — Differing priorities and growing nationalist movements on either side of the disputed border suggest that the next conflict between India and China is a question of when, not if. North Korea: New Watered-Down Sanctions Leave Lifelines in Place — The U.S. has attained new U.N. sanctions on North Korea in response to the country's recent nuclear test, and the biggest so far. But these measures fall short of those floated last week, and they are unlikely to deter Pyongyang from continuing its nuclear weapons program. Russia: Municipal Election Results Indicate Growing Opposition — Loyalist candidates dominated recent gubernatorial elections in Russia's regions. But the unexpected success of opposition candidates in the municipal elections were a jolt for the Kremlin, which will have to work harder to hold onto its power. Afghanistan, India: Pakistan Gets Stuck in the Middle — Afghanistan is looking to deepen its relationship with India to curb Pakistani influence in the region, though such a move could drive Islamabad to withhold eventual negotiations with the Taliban. Japan: Tokyo Pushes Forward on Greater Security Cooperation With U.K. — Japan is trying to increase its military exchanges with the United Kingdom and countries across the globe as it prepares for the 2020 Olympics. On GeopoliticsCentral and Eastern Europe's Crisis of Convergence — The European Union has been discussing greater integration, which has left some of the countries in these regions questioning how close they want to get to the Continental bloc.
Global Perspectives2,000 Years of Economic History in 1 Chart — Jeff Desjardins for Stratfor partner Visual Capitalist discusses a chart that compares economic productivity over a mind-boggling time period. Stratfor GraphicForumsContribute to the conversation. Share your thoughts in our forum section to engage with our analysts, editors and fellow Stratfor Worldview subscribers. According to Germany's FAZ newspaper, the EU Commission is working on a plan to offer EU member states 60,000 euros for each asylum seeker they receive up to their quota and to require them to pay if they fail to meet at least half of their quota. Though the plan is not confirmed, there have been similar reports in the past. Now that the EU Court of Justice has ruled that compulsory migrant relocation quotas are legal, the European Commission is likely to look for solutions to enforce the relocation system. However pragmatic, the plan would certainly be politically controversial, and the countries that have already accepted large numbers of migrants could demand retroactive payment. News You May Have MissedFor even more news, visit Stratfor's Situation Reports page.
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