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EGF
The European Geopolitical Forum

Friday 16 May 2025

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Context
News The Take: Trump wants the US to take over Gaza. What does that mean?

Trump aims to turn Gaza into the ‘Riviera of the Middle East’ under US control.

  • February 7, 2025
News Trump sanctions ‘illegitimate’ International Criminal Court

Trump ordered asset freezes and travel bans against ICC officials, employees and their family members.

  • February 7, 2025
Publications Ukraine Eyes Key Role in Azerbaijani Gas Transit to Europe

Fuad Shahbazov By Fuad Shahbazov, Baku-based independent regional security and defence analyst

Ukraine is positioning itself as a key transit hub for Azerbaijani gas to Europe, a move that could significantly alter the region’s energy landscape. If successful, this would carve out a new role for Kyiv after Russian supplies stopped flowing to the rest of Europe via Ukraine on January 1, pushing up European wholesale energy prices. The expiration of the Russian gas deal at the beginning of 2025 and Kyiv's decision not to prolong the agreement triggered heated debates within the European Union as countries like Hungary and Slovakia harshly criticised Ukraine, accusing it of igniting the energy crisis with no drastic impact on Russia. READ MORE

  • February 6, 2025
Publications The Eurasian Economic Union: A View from Armenia

Benyamin Poghosyan By Benyamin POGHOSYAN, PhD, ISPI Senior Associate Research Fellow


Armenia signed an agreement to join the Eurasian Economic Union (EAEU) in May 2014 after halting the process of signing an Association Agreement with the European Union. Many observers noted that Armenia’s then-President Serzh Sargsyan reversed his foreign policy following a meeting with Russia’s president in September 2013 in a U-turn. This decision paved the way for Armenia’s EAEU membership and halted the negotiation of an agreement that would have included, inter alia, a free-trade agreement with the EU. The reversal was likely made under Russian pressure and was influenced by geopolitical and geo-economic considerations. Armenia, supporting the self-proclaimed Nagorno-Karabakh Republic in its conflict with Azerbaijan, saw its alliance with Russia as a crucial deterrent against hostile neighbours, including Azerbaijan, which had significantly increased its military spending. READ MORE

  • February 6, 2025
Publications Azerbaijan’s Contribution to Regional Connectivity

Vusal GULIYEV By Vusal GULIYEV, Head of Shanghai Office at AZEGLOB Consulting Group and Policy Expert at the Baku-based Topchubashov Center

Azerbaijan is transforming into a key regional hub through strategic investments in transportation infrastructure, particularly along the Middle Corridor. Expanding rail, maritime, and digital connectivity, the country enhances trade between Europe and Asia. Projects like the Baku-Tbilisi-Kars railway and Port of Baku solidify Azerbaijan’s role in global logistics and economic diversification.
Azerbaijan’s focus on improving transportation infrastructure has been central to its role in enhancing regional connectivity, especially in the broader context of linking Europe and Asia. As part of the effort to revive the historic Silk Road, significant progress has been made in expanding trade and transportation networks—particularly rail and maritime routes that facilitate intercontinental trade along the east-west corridor. This expansion is a critical aspect of Baku’s long-term socio-economic growth strategy. Azerbaijan has consistently prioritized unlocking the trade potential of the Trans-Caspian routes, investing in advanced logistics and transportation infrastructure, including rail lines, highways, and seaports, supported by both domestic and international development initiatives. READ MORE

  • February 6, 2025
News Trump tariffs top agenda at EU meeting

European Union leaders gathered on Monday amidst the threat of tariffs from US President Donald Trump on imports, stating that if Trump goes ahead with the threat, then Europe will respond. Al Jazeera’s Hashem Ahelbarra explains.

  • February 5, 2025
News NATO chief says European defence without US ‘will not work’

Mark Rutte says trade tensions under Trump will not affect NATO’s deterrence, stressing unity in military alliance.

  • February 5, 2025
News IAEA chief warns of nuclear risk from Russia attacks on Ukraine power grids

Moscow has constantly bombarded Ukraine’s energy infrastructure throughout its three-year invasion, although it has avoided direct strikes on nuclear plants.

  • February 5, 2025
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