Authorization

Registration

Forgot password?


Forgot password

  • English version
  • Русская версия
EGF
The European Geopolitical Forum

Saturday 21 May 2022

  • Registration
  • Login
  • About
    • Who we are
    • What we do
    • Issues we work on
    • EGF in Press
    • What makes us different?
    • Staff
    • Affiliated Experts
    • Why is geopolitics important?
    • Expert Presentations
    • EGF Partners
    • Contact Us
  • Forum
    • In progress
    • Archive
    • Terms & Rules
    • Registration
    • Help
  • Experts
  • Context
    • News
    • Publications
    • Events
    • Documents
    • Maps
    • Members Area
    • Book reviews
  • EGF Shop

Advanced Search

From the EGF Head of Research:

The Russian invasion of Ukraine by what it called a “special military operation” has crushed the European order, as we had known it, and triggered a huge leap to insecurity for All. Right now there is blatant lack of geopolitical vision on how a new, stable European order should look like. We must develop a new realistic vision and proactive common policy, inclusive of how to deal with Russia’s and the other East European states’ legitimate security interests and concerns.
100 issues+ April 2022 March 2022 February 2022 January 2022 December 2021 November 2021 October 2021 September 2021
September — November 2019 mid May – July 2019
February-April 2022 November-January 2022 August-October 2021 June-July 2021 April-May 2021 February-March 2021 Previous Issues
Tweets by EGF_Brussels

News

  • Ros Atkins on… Could Ukraine’s war spread to Moldova?May 4, 2022
  • Donbas: Why Russia is trying to encircle Ukraine's eastMay 4, 2022
  • JD Vance: Trump-backed contender clinches Ohio Senate raceMay 4, 2022
More
South Caucasus
The Changing Dynamics of the Wider-Black Sea in Regional Security and External Relations
EGF Arab Spring
EGF Head of Research Recommended Reading
EGF Head of Research Recommended Reading
Security A Transitional Arrangement for Karabakh May Be Necessary

Benyamin Poghosyan By Benyamin POGHOSYAN, PhD, Chairman, Center for Political and Economic Strategic Studies

The issue of the status of Nagorno Karabakh cannot be avoided in future discussions on an Armenia-Azerbaijan bilateral peace treaty. One solution is to agree to some transitional arrangement.
The April 6 Brussels meeting between Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan and Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev gave the Armenia – Azerbaijan negotiations new momentum. The sides agreed to establish a border delimitation and demarcation commission and take steps to launch negotiations over the signature of a bilateral peace treaty. These issues were also agreed upon in principle back in November 2021, when two leaders had a meeting in Sochi facilitated by Russian President Vladimir Putin. READ MORE

  • Friday, 20 May 2022, 10:40
Security Lack of Results in Armenia-Azerbaijan Talks Can Quickly Lead to Renewed Violence

Fuad Shahbazov By Fuad SHAHBAZOV, Baku-based independent regional security and defence analyst

On May 12, the Foreign Ministers of Azerbaijan and Armenia held another meeting in Dushanbe, Tajikistan, on the side-lines of the Russia-led Commonwealth of Independent States Ministerial summit, and with the participation of the Russian foreign minister. Although Armenian Foreign Minister Ararat Mirzoyan characterized the meeting as another “productive interaction” between the warring parties, little progress has been made in the peace negotiations between Baku and Yerevan since the 6 April meeting of the leaders of the two countries in Brussels. READ MORE

  • Friday, 20 May 2022, 07:11
Security Black Sea Security in Times of War

Russia-China-Afghanistan By Eugene KOGAN, Tbilisi-based defence and security expert

There is no doubt that the ongoing Russian military action against Ukraine profoundly affects the rest of the Black Sea littoral states: Bulgaria, Georgia, Romania and Turkey. The tense standoff of recent weeks placed each of them in a difficult position between apprehension and, particularly with Turkey, a kind of peacemaker or rather mediator, which Russia now ignores completely.
Romanian Defence Minister, Vasile Dincu, said in January 2022 that “Russia, at the moment, is not a direct threat to Romania, but it is [rather] a threat to security in the [Black Sea] area”. The author disagrees with the minister’s statement since the Russian military, which is stationed on the occupied Crimean peninsula - not much more than 100 km from the Danube Delta – is a direct threat to Romania, even though Russian officials will blame the other side for posing a threat to Russia. Furthermore, the region’s three NATO member countries, namely Bulgaria, Romania and Turkey, have until today been unable to create and implement a comprehensive Black Sea security strategy together with NATO aspirants Georgia and Ukraine to counter the challenges posed by Russia. The latter, however, successfully implemented its divide and rule policy in the region. READ MORE.

  • Thursday, 21 April 2022, 07:02
External Relations The South Caucasus from War to Peace: 30 Measures between Now and 2030

Joint Armenian-Azerbaijani Liaison Group Joint Armenian-Azerbaijani Liaison Group on confidence-building measures

The Joint Armenian-Azerbaijani Liaison Group on confidence-building measures in support of lasting peace in the South Caucasus has published its report in which it proposes 30 short, medium and long term measures in support of ongoing efforts to establish peace in the region. On Wednesday, 6 April, members of the Working Group, presented their report to the EU Special Representative for the South Caucasus, Toivo Klaar, and other EU officials at a special briefing in Brussels. In their report, published on the eve of the meeting between the leaders of Armenia and Azerbaijan and the president of the European Union in Brussels on 6 April, the group says that "all the ingredients for peace exist in the South Caucasus. All the ingredients for war exist too. What is in front of us is a choice". The group says that the proposed measures are a building block in the quest for peace but if the ideas being proposed are implemented the objective of building a peaceful, secure and prosperous South Caucasus will be much closer to being achieved. It was now necessary that all concerned should put effort into turning the thirty measures being proposed in the report into tangible action.
The work of the Joint Liaison Group was co-ordinated and facilitated by LINKS Europe - an independent foundation based in The Hague, The Netherlands - in the framework of the European Union's EU4Peace initiative. READ MORE

  • Wednesday, 13 April 2022, 06:55
Markets The Rising Strategic Role of Azerbaijan in Euro-Asian Economic Relations

The Rising Strategic Role of Azerbaijan By Ayaz MUSEYIBOV, Head of Department, Center for Analysis and Communication of Economic Reforms of the Republic of Azerbaijan

Currently, energy and trade routes security is one of the major considerations at the global level. In the wake of the recent global events, the importance of energy resources is more likely to become a dominant matter which the global economy tremendously needs.
Energy supply to Europe, particularly to South and South-Eastern Europe, depends on only one source. However, the European Commission is accelerating the economic diversification processes beginning with the gas routes in order to reduce the economic dependency. Hence, the EU has already held various talks with energy players such as Egypt, Qatar, the United States, South Korea, Nigeria, and Azerbaijan to increase natural gas supplies in the case of a gas crisis. READ MORE

  • Wednesday, 6 April 2022, 10:03
External Relations How Azerbaijan Perceives the Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Yeghia TASHJIAN By Yeghia TASHJIAN, Beirut-based regional analyst and researcher, columnist, "The Armenian Weekly”

As the “frozen conflict” with Armenia over Nagorno-Karabakh (Artsakh) persists, the Ukrainian crisis poses a different challenge for Azerbaijan. “Neutrality” appears to be the watchword as Baku seeks to preserve its ties with both Moscow and Kyiv. While Baku is concerned about the developing situation, it potentially stands to benefit from the trouble with its gas exports to Europe. Given Azerbaijan’s strategic partnership with Russia after the war on Nagorno-Karabakh and its friendly relations with Ukraine (not to mention its significant gas reserves), some may think that Baku is in a prime position to benefit from the looming energy crisis presented by the region’s unrest. READ MORE

  • Thursday, 31 March 2022, 08:01
External Relations Putin and the 2022 Russian Military Conflict in Post-Soviet Lands

Alan Whitehorn By Alan WHITEHORN, Professor Emeritus in Political Science, The Royal Military College of Canada

Coming to power after the break-up of the Soviet Union in the 1990s, Lukashenko had ruled Belarus in a highly autocratic fashion for almost three decades, while seeking to navigate his country within Moscow’s sphere of influence. However, the aging leader’s arbitrary rule began to teeter and he faced a major challenge in the election of 2020. When skewed and rigged election results were announced, hundreds of thousands of voters of Belarus peacefully protested their strong objections.
The West echoed moral support to the mass of citizens voicing democratic demands on the streets, but provided little material assistance. Somewhat optimistically and naively, the West trusted that the unarmed people would peacefully prevail over the coercive might of the internal and external dictators in Minsk and Moscow. Putin, by contrast, sensing a vulnerable and weakened regime, provided his fellow authoritarian colleague with external assistance to forcefully crush the peaceful demonstrators. READ MORE

  • Thursday, 17 March 2022, 07:54
All discussions

EGF Affiliated Expert Benyamin POGHOSYAN has recently launched a new English language weekly program Viewpoint, where he will discuss the developments in and around Armenia. READ MORE

EGF Affiliated Expert Professor Emeritus Alan Whitehorn has recently contributed a new op-ed on “War Crimes and Genocide in Ukraine” to 168.am news & analysis. He concluded that: “A third option is to stand up and try to stop the victimization. Somehow, we must resist the ‘sin of indifference’. The perpetrators need to be stopped by joint collective action. It is our shared global obligation to urgently protect the victims. READ MORE

 

On March 24-27, 2022, George Vlad Niculescu, Head of Research of the EGF, co-chaired the 23rd workshop of the Regional Stability in the South Caucasus Study Group of the PfP Consortium of Defence Academies and Security Studies Institutes on “Peace Building through Economic and Infrastructure Integration in the South Caucasus”, held in Naples (Italy). Please click here for the programme and agenda outline, and here for his speaking points.

On June 10th, 2021, Dr George Vlad Niculescu, EGF Head of Research, participated in the commemorative event: “Uzbekistan and its International Partners: Thirty Years of Independent Statehood, Energy Cooperation, and Openness towards Reform and Investment” organized by the Uzbek Embassy to the Kingdom of Belgium and the E.U. and by the Brussels Energy Club. On that occasion, he delivered a speech highlighting Uzbekistan’s relevance for the European Union strategy in Central Asia and a couple of challenges ahead for Uzbekistan and its Central Asian neighbours. Click here to read his speech.

  • The Daily BriefMay 4, 2022
  • Stratfor 2018 Second-Quarter ForecastMarch 11, 2018
  • Stratfor 2018 Annual ForecastDecember 26, 2017
More
EGF Featured Publication, from Affiliated Expert Anna Ohanyan
Armenia’s Velvet Revolution: Authoritarian Decline and Civil Resistance in a Multipolar World
Click to choose region/discussion in progress

© 2006—2022 European Geopolitical Forum

  • Terms and Conditions
  • Privacy Policy
  • Contact us

Космос-Веб