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Saturday 10 May 2025

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Context on External Relations
News Iran's defense hawks prepare for worst after nuclear deal

As Iran's government promises a new age of prosperity after sanctions, many Iranians are hoping for the best. But the security establishment, with an eye to its political survival, is very publicly preparing for the worst.

  • November 4, 2015
News Russia's Syria force grows to 4,000, U.S. officials say

Moscow's military force in Syria has grown to about 4,000 personnel, but this and more than a month of Russian air strikes have not led to pro-government forces making significant territorial gains, U.S. security officials and independent experts said.

  • November 4, 2015
News China's vice president pledges support in rare Afghanistan visit

China's vice president pledged infrastructure and security support for Afghanistan on Tuesday, signing several deals during a rare high-level Chinese visit to Kabul.

  • November 3, 2015
News U.S. Navy plans two or more patrols in South China Sea per quarter

The U.S. Navy plans to conduct patrols within 12 nautical miles of artificial islands in the South China Sea about twice a quarter to remind China and other countries about U.S. rights under international law, a U.S. defense official said on Monday.

  • November 3, 2015
News China and France seek five-year reviews of planned UN climate deal

China and France agreed on Monday to push for long-term monitoring of a U.N. accord to combat climate change due in Paris next month by reviewing cuts in greenhouse gas emissions every five years.

  • November 2, 2015
News UAE carriers re-route flights over Egypt's Sinai after Russian crash

United Arab Emirates airlines Emirates [EMIRA.UL], Air Arabia AIRA.DU and flydubai said on Sunday they were re-routing flights to avoid Egypt's Sinai Peninsula, where a Russian aircraft carrying 224 passengers crashed on Saturday.

  • November 1, 2015
News Turkey set to return to single-party rule in boost for Erdogan

Turkey looked set to return to single-party rule after the Islamist-rooted AK Party swept to an unexpected victory in elections on Sunday, an outcome that will boost the power of President Tayyip Erdogan but may sharpen deep social divisions.

  • November 1, 2015
Publications November-December. 2015. EGF Turkey File

Insights into Turkish Domestic and International Politics
November – December 2015

By John VanPool, EGF Turkey and Black Sea Guest Analyst

Key Points:

  • Predictions of the AKP’s demise have been greatly exaggerated as the party is swept back into power in the November elections.
  • Months of renewed violence between the state, the PKK and terrorist attacks by the Islamic State plunge Turkey into an increasingly dangerous security situation.
  • Turkey and Russia relations deteriorate as the former downed an encroaching Russian fighter as it crossed into Turkish air space.
  • The Middle East closes the year with no end to the violent upheavals that have roiled the region since the uprisings of the Arab Spring. Yet security and economic necessities appear to be drawing Turkey and Israel closer to an agreement on the renewal of relations following the fallout from the 2010 Mavi Marmara incident.
READ MORE

  • November 1, 2015
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