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The European Geopolitical Forum

Wednesday 18 February 2026

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Context on External Relations
News Kremlin official says Russian navy to stop West’s seizure of merchant ships

A Russian official says Western powers that seize sanctioned vessels carrying Moscow’s oil are committing ‘piracy-like attacks’.

  • February 18, 2026
Publications Watching TRIPP: China and the art of strategic patience

Yeghia TASHJIAN By Yeghia TASHJIAN, Beirut-based regional analyst and researcher, columnist, "The Armenian Weekly”

China’s position on the TRIPP (Trump’s Route for International Peace and Prosperity) has been cautious and low-profile, shaped less by enthusiasm for the project itself than by Beijing’s overall policy toward the South Caucasus and the region’s geopolitical rivalries. From China’s perspective, TRIPP is not mutually exclusive with the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI). From the U.S. perspective, however, the project carries geopolitical weight, aimed at containing or counterbalancing Russian, Iranian and Chinese influence in Eurasia.
China has evaluated TRIPP primarily through the lens of risk management, given that the route traverses border regions historically vulnerable to conflict and border tensions and lies at the intersection of regional rivalries. This helps explain why Beijing has avoided any public endorsement, opting instead for rhetorical neutrality and a wait-and-see approach — signalling that economic connectivity must be inclusive, territorial integrity respected, trade depoliticized and cooperation insulated from zero-sum geopolitical competition. READ MORE

  • February 18, 2026
News Mexico’s tariffs on India are a double whammy after US tariffs

The steep hikes by Mexico have devastated several Indian industries already reeling under crushing US tariffs.

  • February 6, 2026
News Cuba denies security threat accusations as US raises pressure

Havana says it is ready for ‘constructive engagement’ with Washington as White House moves to choke off oil supplies.

  • February 2, 2026
Publications TRIPP as a Pathway to Peace: How Connectivity Is Reshaping Armenia–Azerbaijan Normalization

Vasif HUSEYNOV By Vasif HUSEYNOV, PhD, Head of Department, AIR Center, Adjunct Lecturer, ADA and Khazar Universities, Baku

The unveiling of the TRIPP Implementation Framework has not only accelerated the Armenia–Azerbaijan normalization process but has also triggered visible reactions from regional powers whose influence over South Caucasus connectivity is being recalibrated. While the project is framed as an economic and infrastructural initiative anchored in sovereignty and reciprocity, it directly affects long-standing geopolitical balances in a key crossroads of Eurasia. Among regional actors, Russia and Iran have emerged as the most vocal critics or sceptics of TRIPP, reflecting broader concerns over diminishing leverage, U.S. involvement, and shifting regional alignments. READ MORE

  • January 26, 2026
Publications Recent Developments around ‘TRIPP’: A Leap, but at What Cost?

Yeghia TASHJIAN By Yeghia TASHJIAN, Beirut-based regional analyst and researcher, columnist, "The Armenian Weekly”

On Jan. 13, 2026, Armenian Foreign Minister Ararat Mirzoyan and U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio met in Washington, D.C., to announce the Trump Route for International Peace and Prosperity (TRIPP) Implementation Framework. The six-page document is the latest step toward implementing the commitments made at the White House on Aug. 8, 2025, aimed at establishing peace in the South Caucasus. According to the announcement, the “ultimate objective of TRIPP is to strengthen the prosperity and security of Armenia and Azerbaijan and further American commerce by expanding regional trade and connectivity, as well as creating new transit opportunities linking Central Asia and the Caspian to Europe. READ MORE

  • January 26, 2026
News Trump asks Putin to join Gaza ‘board of peace’ even as Ukraine war rages

The Kremlin says it is seeking to “clarify all the nuances” of the offer from Washington.

  • January 20, 2026
News Denmark sends more troops to Greenland amid tensions with Trump

Nordic country dispatches ‘substantial contribution’ of troops to the Arctic territory amid standoff with Washington.

  • January 20, 2026
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