Benyamin POGHOSYAN, PhD, Chairman, Center for Political and Economic Strategic Studies

As the US presidential election approaches, many are assessing the implications of a Donald Trump or Kamala Harris administration in different parts of the world. Commentators on the South Caucasus are no exception. The Biden administration established a Washington format to facilitate Armenia–Azerbaijan negotiations and took steps to further US–Armenia relations, making a decision to upgrade the status of a strategic dialogue launched in 2019 to a strategic partnership commission. The Biden administration also invested efforts in thawing relations between Armenia and Turkey, viewing this as essential for regional stability. US officials view normalising Armenia–Turkey relations as crucial for reducing Russian influence and decreasing Armenia’s dependency on Russia. READ MORE

• October 23, 2024

By Fuad Shahbazov, Baku-based independent regional security and defence analyst

Türkiye’s Statistics Department reported in July that exports to Russia had shrunk by 28 percent from the previous year due to continuous pressure from US sanctions against Russia. The value of these exports reached only $4.16 billion in the first quarter of 2024, representing a decline from a peak of $5.80 billion the previous year. Imports surged in 2021 to a peak of $27.7 billion just before the outbreak of Russia’s war in Ukraine, and have since fallen, though they still remain far above 2020 levels. Since Russia’s invasion, the West has imposed harsh economic sanctions on the country to exert pressure on the country. Since then, however, Moscow has gone to enormous effort to circumvent those sanctions and maintain international trade. In this regard, Türkiye, a long-time Russian energy importer, has become an outlet for the Russian global economy. Turkish-Russian relations have fluctuated over the course of the war, as Türkiye tries to maintain a balanced position between the West and Russia, as well as with other regional players in the Middle East. READ MORE

• October 23, 2024

Ankara said last year it was eager to acquire Eurofighter jets, but the talks have been slow to get off the ground.

• October 21, 2024

Prosecutors said the accused exchanged information with a member of ISIL in a messenger chat and was planning to use firearms in his assault.

• October 21, 2024

The European Union froze accession talks after Georgia’s government passed a controversial ‘foreign influence law’ earlier this year.

• October 21, 2024

Moldova’s pro-EU President Maia Sandu has blamed fraud by criminal groups and “foreign forces” for potential defeat in a referendum on joining the EU, after partial election results showed a majority voting against it.

• October 21, 2024

Governments who see migration as a political and security risk will be looking for solutions including sending asylum seekers abroad while their claims are processed.

• October 18, 2024

Ukrainian president is trying to rally support for his country amid uncertainty over future of US backing.

• October 18, 2024