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EGF
The European Geopolitical Forum

Monday 22 December 2025

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Context on Security
Publications Exporting Power: Türkiye’s Defence Industry and the Politics of Strategic Autonomy

Fuad Shahbazov By Fuad SHAHBAZOV, Baku-based independent regional security and defence analyst

Over the last decade, the development of Turkey’s defence industry has become a crucial aspect of its soft power diplomacy in both regional and global politics. The country has made significant efforts to invest heavily in the development of its indigenous defence industry, reducing its dependence on imports and becoming a leading defence exporter in global markets. The rapidly changing regional and global geopolitical landscape, particularly after the Arab uprisings, has prompted Ankara to expand the country’s defence industry and reduce its reliance on overseas arms procurement and international supply chains. Since the ruling AKP government came to power, the country’s indigenous defence industry has undergone a significant transformation, steadily becoming the twelfth-largest arms exporter, according to the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI). Given the regional instability marked by violent uprisings and sectarian conflicts, Türkiye’s pursuit of defence industry development can be understood as a primarily threat-driven strategy. This approach reflects an effort to enhance national defence capabilities and ensure strategic autonomy in response to both external security challenges and internal vulnerabilities. READ MORE

  • December 22, 2025
News Ukraine reports large Russian mechanised assault in battle for Pokrovsk

Russia has claimed to be in full control of Pokrovsk, but Ukrainian forces say they still control the northern part of the strategic city in eastern Ukraine.

  • December 11, 2025
News Is Trump’s $686m F-16 upgrade for Pakistan a message to India?

The US authorised the sale of advanced technology and support for Pakistan’s F-16 jets after pressuring India to buy more US weapons.

  • December 11, 2025
Publications How China Shapes the Drone Divide in the Russia-Ukraine War

Fuad Shahbazov By Fuad SHAHBAZOV, Baku-based independent regional security and defence analyst

The war in Ukraine has evolved into a complex geopolitical conflict while demonstrating the transformative role that drone technology has played in shaping the course of the war. Following the Russian invasion of Ukraine in 2022, the Ukrainian Armed Forces began to actively embrace modern warfare technology, especially the use of First-Person Drones (FPVs) which were critical in inflicting grave damage on Russian forces using ‘meat grinder’ tactics to storm Ukrainian front-line positions. In the past two years, Ukrainian forces have used FPV drones for real-time intelligence and reconnaissance of Russian positions and troop movements while also deploying cost-effective “kamikaze” drones to target Russian recruits, tanks, howitzers, and other armoured vehicles. Although drone technology is now a core part of Ukraine’s struggle against Russian intervention, Kyiv initially faced an acute shortage of unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) in the early stages of the war, while the requirements of its frontline forces were partially met by civilian drones, mostly produced by the Chinese company DJI. READ MORE

  • December 5, 2025
Publications Taking up Maritime Security Challenges and Stakes : A European Governance Mechanism?

Taking up Maritime Security Challenges and Stakes : A European Governance Mechanism? By Jean-Marie L’HUISSIERE, independent consultant and expert on European maritime policies

While the European Union (EU) benefits today from a large regulatory acquis and from a vast experience in maritime operations and programmes, efforts must go on with regard to coordination and consistency to overcome sectoral divisions and increase efficiency. Taking up challenges and stakes in the maritime domain requires to implement concretely the integration principles and the comprehensive approach, by coordinating the use of both civilian and military resources and capabilities available to the EU. […] An initiative aiming at establishing an inter-institutional mechanism for maritime governance at strategic level opens prospects in this direction. READ MORE

  • December 5, 2025
News Russia says it captured Pokrovsk, a key logistics hub in eastern Ukraine

Russian Chief of Staff Valery Gerasimov said Russian forces have also captured the city of Vovchansk in Kharkiv.

  • December 2, 2025
News Canada joins key EU defence programme as PM Carney pivots away from US

Canada joins the EU’s Security Action for Europe (SAFE) rearmament initiative, giving access to $170bn in loans for military equipment procurement.

  • December 2, 2025
News Hegseth or Admiral Bradley: Who approved the second Venezuela boat strike?

The US defence secretary and White House have defended the second strike, but Trump has said he would not have wanted it.

  • December 2, 2025
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