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Friday 23 May 2025

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Context on External Relations
Publications The South Caucasus and Iran’s SCO Membership

Benyamin Poghosyan By Benyamin POGHOSYAN, PhD, Chairman, Center for Political and Economic Strategic Studies

As the Russia – West confrontation continues without any signs of an end, many experts, academicians, and politicians seek to grasp the contours of the emerging new world order. Some believe that, in the end, a new bipolar world will emerge dominated by China and the US, while Russia will be forced to choose between these states based on the outcome of the Russia – Ukraine war. If the West can impose a strategic defeat on Russia and bring about a regime change, Russia will be in the West’s camp against China. Otherwise, the Kremlin will be a junior partner of China, supplying Beijing with cheap raw materials and getting access to Chinese funds and technologies. Others argue that the future world order will be multipolar, with no fixed alliances, and several key players will pursue temporary cooperation with each other based on short-term needs. One thing is clear: the finalization of the new world order will take years and decades, and till then, instability and strategic ambiguity will be the primary features of the world. READ MORE

  • July 20, 2023
News Black Sea grain deal in peril as UN, Turkey await Russia response

UN and Turkish officials in Istanbul awaiting response from Russia as last cargo ship carrying Ukrainian grain leaves Odesa.

  • July 17, 2023
News Russia halts participation in Black Sea grain deal: Kremlin

Kremlin says its conditions for extending deal brokered by the UN and Turkey had not been fulfilled.

  • July 17, 2023
News Russia-Ukraine Black Sea grain deal: All you need to know

Russia has declined to extend the Black Sea grain deal, stalling the export of Ukrainian grain to the rest of the world.

  • July 17, 2023
News Crimea bridge attack: What happened, why is the bridge important?

The bridge suffered damage after one of its sections was blown up, killing two people and wounding a child.

  • July 17, 2023
News As Russia exits grain deal, which countries will be affected?

Almost 33 million metric tonnes of grain were exported since the Black Sea Grain Initiative was brokered a year ago.

  • July 17, 2023
Publications Voices from the Saint Petersburg International Economic Forum 2023

Yeghia TASHJIAN By Yeghia TASHJIAN, Beirut-based regional analyst and researcher, columnist, "The Armenian Weekly”

I had the opportunity to participate in a program organized by the “Friends for Leadership” to attend the 2023 Saint Petersburg International Economic Forum. Thousands of delegates mostly from Latin America, Africa, and Asia attended the forum alongside heads of state, diplomats, and businessmen. Interestingly, the UAE had the “special guest” status and anyone could feel its cultural, economic, and political presence in the forum. Delegates were anxious to be informed of the details of the new agreements signed between Russia and other countries, Russia’s President Vladimir Putin’s remarks and attend dozens of sessions and panels related to the BRICS, Eurasian Economic Union (EAEU), International North-South Transport Corridor, and North-South trade. I had the opportunity to closely identify Russia’s post-Ukraine war foreign policy priorities, its geo-economic interests in the Middle East, and the challenges of the emerging multipolar world system. READ MORE

  • July 11, 2023
Publications How Will Hakan Fidan’s Appointment Shift Turkish Diplomacy?

Fuad Shahbazov By Fuad SHAHBAZOV, Baku-based independent regional security and defence analyst

After winning re-election, Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan significantly reshuffled his ministerial cabinet. Unlike in previous terms, this time, Erdogan decided to make significant changes to his cabinet while signaling upcoming reforms amid economic difficulties at home and political disputes abroad. In addressing domestic needs, the Turkish president appointed internationally respected ex-banker Mehmet Şimşek as the new minister of finance and Cevdet Yilmaz, former minister of development and deputy prime minister in charge of the economy, as vice president. Although the cabinet members are newly appointed bureaucrats, they are not completely “new faces” as they were heavily engaged in Turkish politics before their appointments. READ MORE

  • July 11, 2023
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