Armenia’s “Velvet Revolution” and the Karabakh Conflict Resolution
By George Vlad Niculescu, Head of Research, the European Geopolitical Forum
On 17 April 2018, Armenia’s National Assembly overwhelmingly voted to install Serzh Sargsyan -former president of the country- as prime minister. They unequivocally ignored the “voice of the street” calling for a change of face at the helm of this rather small, but ambitious post-Soviet state. This vote was supposed to conclude a power capture scheme started back in 2015.[…] Under pressure from independent civil society, then president Sargsyan had promised not to turn up as candidate for the prime-ministerial post. READ MORE
- EGF Editor |
Published on EGF: 01.05.2018
| External Relations
-
Deciphering Russia’s Messages in the Post-Soviet Space
By Benyamin Poghosyan, PhD, Executive Director, Political Science Association of Armenia
Since the Russia – Georgia war in 2008 one of the key geopolitical features of the post–Soviet space has been the Russian effort to reinstall its influence over former Soviet republics and diminish the role of the Euro-Atlantic community. The 2008 war, the 2014 Crimea crisis, and the ongoing conflict in Eastern Ukraine are examples of Russian use of hard power to pursue geopolitical interests in the region. However, one of the key tools in the Russian arsenal to regain its dominant position within the post–Soviet world is the effective use of propaganda and information campaigns against the Euro-Atlantic institutions. READ MORE
- EGF Editor |
Published on EGF: 17.04.2018
| External Relations
-
Endless Endgame: Whither Russia-West Confrontation?
By Elkhan Nuriyev, BREC Global Energy Associate, EGF Affiliated Expert
The world’s future is currently endangered by numerous fundamental threats, yet Western democracies fear only one – Vladimir Putin. On all geopolitical fronts of the emerging multipolar world the Russian President has smartly backlashed against all collective challenges mounted by the West. Small wonder the West’s incessant fear of Russia’s military power has made Putin the world’s most powerful man. What is currently happening in West-Russia relations is not a new Cold War; it is not even a renewed East-West divide. READ MORE
- EGF Editor |
Published on EGF: 16.04.2018
| External Relations
-
Russian–Turkish Rapprochement: Implications for the South Caucasus
By Benyamin Poghosyan, PhD, Executive Director, Political Science Association of Armenia
Russia - Turkish relations are going through tremendous transformations. Just two and half years ago, Turkey was a target of harsh Russian criticism, with Moscow accusing Ankara of supporting the Islamic State, assisting various other terrorist groups deployed in Syria, and oil smuggling. However, since summer 2016, bilateral relations have improved significantly. Syria is a stark example of that thaw, seeing Russia tacitly supporting the Turkish incursion into Northern Syria in summer 2016 as well as turning a blind eye to the Turkish offensive in Afrin. READ MORE
- EGF Editor |
Published on EGF: 11.04.2018
| External Relations
-
Turkey and Russia aspire to replace a century of Western domination of the Middle East
By Benyamin Poghosyan, PhD, Executive Director, Political Science Association of Armenia
An "Eurasianist" ideology is helping to consolidate a Russia - Turkey strategic alliance, as a viable tool to achieve long term strategic interests in the Middle East and beyond.
The security architecture of the Middle East is in the midst of a tremendous transformation. Since the end of the First World War the region has been under Western domination of some form or another. In 1920s and 1930s it was wrapped within the mandate system imposed by the League of Nations, and since the end of the Second World War the US has been the regional kingmaker. The Soviet Union had some footholds such as Egypt during Nasser's rule, as well as Syria and parts of Yemen. READ MORE
- EGF Editor |
| External Relations
-
The Rationale behind Armenia-Georgia Strategic Partnership
By Benyamin Poghosyan, PhD, Executive Director, Political Science Association of Armenia
Since gaining independence in 1991 Armenia – Georgia relations have been characterized as friendly and mutually beneficial. Georgia is one of only two routes connecting Armenia to the world and Armenia serves as a land bridge for Georgia to Iran. The mainly positive historical memories also play a role in fomenting friendly images within both societies. […] Yet, there is a lack of clear articulation of the strategic rationale behind those bilateral relations. READ MORE
- EGF Editor |
| External Relations
-
Armenia and Azerbaijan will both finalise important political transitions before the end of April
By Benyamin Poghosyan, PhD, Executive Director, Political Science Association of Armenia
The convergence in the timing of key political processes in Armenia and Azerbaijan has heightened interest in Armenia regarding Azerbaijan's domestic developments.
The Azerbaijani President decision to move Presidential elections from October to April 2018 caught many in Armenia by surprise. The expert community put forward several clues on potential reasons for such a decision. The most discussed option was the possible deterioration of the economic situation in Azerbaijan in the second half of the year, which theoretically may complicate the re-election of Aliyev. READ MORE
- EGF Editor |
Published on EGF: 05.03.2018
| External Relations
-
Raising Tensions Around Iran: Should Armenia be Concerned?
By Benyamin Poghosyan, PhD, Executive Director, Political Science Association of Armenia
In recent months Iran has been facing both internal and external challenges. The wave of demonstrations shook up the Islamic Republic in late December – early January 2017-2018. The expert community still has contradicting views for the main reasons of the protest movement: internal struggle between conservatives and reformists, outside meddling with main arrows targeting the US, Israel and Saudi Arabia as potential sponsors, spontaneous movement based on economic hardships and rampant corruption. READ MORE
- EGF Editor |
Published on EGF: 26.02.2018
| External Relations
-
Is Russia’s Containment Still Possible? Case-study on the South Caucasus
By Benyamin Poghosyan, PhD, Executive Director, Political Science Association of Armenia
Since 2014, the containment of Russia has been one of the most popular topics within the expert community dealing with Geopolitics and Geostrategy. This term has been actively used by the Western political circles, including high level state officials and senior leaders of NATO. The Russian officials also use this term to describe Western, and, in particular, US policy towards Moscow. However, despite emphasizing the necessity to contain Russia in the post-Soviet space, including in the South Caucasus, little if anything is being done to change the geopolitical status quo. READ MORE
- EGF Editor |
Published on EGF: 09.02.2018
| External Relations
-