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The Daily Brief
Though the rise of nationalism doesn't signal the end of globalization, it does mark the new way in which countries are engaging with one another.
The Limits of Uzbekistan's Drift Toward Russia
Russia and Uzbekistan have begun to work more closely with each other on economic and security issues, a trend that will likely accelerate in the wake of the deadly subway bombing in St. Petersburg on April 3. But despite their greater cooperation, the government in Tashkent will not abandon its broader strategy of neutrality. Instead, it will continue to maintain strategic ties with China, the United States and other foreign powers.
Stratfor: 2017 Second-Quarter Forecast
Trade will be at the forefront of many leaders' minds this quarter as a new U.S. administration settles into the White House. Though U.S. President Donald Trump continues to be bogged down by congressional battles and allegations of inappropriate ties to Russia, his team will try to draw the public's attention back to its trade agenda. To that end, Washington will work to clarify its strategy for cracking down on currency manipulation abroad, tightening the enforcement of existing trade laws and preparing to renegotiate NAFTA. But the uncertainty surrounding the White House's intentions will linger, prompting the United States' biggest trade partners to look for new economic relationships elsewhere.
A Storm Is Brewing Over Europe
Storm clouds are once again gathering above the eurozone. In coming months, its continuity will be threatened by events in Europe and the United States. Germany, the largest political and economic player in Europe, will try to keep the bloc together. But the crisis could be too big for Berlin to handle, especially since some of the actors involved see Germany as a part of the problem rather than the solution.
The Eurozone: On the Edge of Crisis
The bailout of Banca Monte Dei Paschi di Siena, Italy's third-largest bank, was the first to take place after the eurozone instituted its "bail-in" rules. But those rules' apparent failure adds another layer of risk for the currency union. (GIUSEPPE CACACE/AFP/Getty Images).