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The Daily Brief

Published on EGF: 10.01.2020

Forecast

2020 Annual Forecast — A tepid global economy, continued trade uncertainty and the impending U.S. presidential election will shape the direction of world events in 2020.

Essential Reading

Lebanon's Prime Minister-designate Faces Long Odds — The new prime minister will struggle to break the country's political deadlock and improve its economy and security situation.

With Its Missile Strikes, Iran Flaunts Its Accuracy — Tehran's precise strikes on an air base hosting U.S. forces show Washington just how advanced Iran's missile capabilities are.

Naval Update Map: Jan. 9, 2020 — The Naval Update Map shows the approximate current locations of U.S. Carrier Strike Groups (CSGs) and Amphibious Ready Groups (ARGs), based on available open-source information.

Geopolitical Calendar — Stay informed about the significant meetings and events the Stratfor team is tracking.

Global Perspectives

The Factors Motivating Turkey in Libya — Stratfor contributor Sinan Ciddi writes that by sending Turkish troops to defend Libya's U.N.-backed government, President Erdogan hopes to force a cease-fire that will protect his country's oil and gas interests in the Mediterranean and burnish his regional reputation.

Podcasts

Essential Geopolitics: The World Reacts to the U.S.-Iran Fight — In this episode of Stratfor's Essential Geopolitics podcast, Stratfor analysts Fred Burton and Ryan Bohl discuss how the world is watching the next steps in both the Iranian proxy theater and in the development of Iran's nuclear program.

Stratfor Graphic

China will expand financial liberalization in mainland cities like Shenzhen and Shanghai, as well as Macau, while solidifying financial cooperation with Singapore for the Belt and Road and other regional initiatives.

News You May Have Missed

For even more news, visit Stratfor's Situation Reports page.

  • Belarus, EU: Minsk and Brussels Sign Visa Facilitation Agreement
  • Chile: State-Owned Copper Mining Firm Raises $2 Billion From Bond Sales
  • China: Beijing to Open Up Energy Exploration for Foreign, Private Domestic Firms
  • Ethiopia: Parliament Approves Bill to Limit Gun Ownership
  • South Africa: World Bank Cuts 2020 Growth Forecast to 0.9 Percent, Citing Electricity Woes
  • Mexico: Government Not Considering New Oil Auctions in 2020, Lopez Obrador Reaffirms
  • India: New Delhi Restricts Imports of Refined Palm Oil After Malaysia Criticizes Policies

Forums

Contribute to the conversation. Share your thoughts in our forum section to engage with our analysts, editors and fellow Stratfor Worldview subscribers.

Do you still have questions about your Worldview membership? Please refer to this guide as a resource.

Forecast

2020 Annual Forecast — A tepid global economy, continued trade uncertainty and the impending U.S. presidential election will shape the direction of world events in 2020.

Essential Reading

Lebanon's Prime Minister-designate Faces Long Odds — The new prime minister will struggle to break the country's political deadlock and improve its economy and security situation.

With Its Missile Strikes, Iran Flaunts Its Accuracy — Tehran's precise strikes on an air base hosting U.S. forces show Washington just how advanced Iran's missile capabilities are.

Naval Update Map: Jan. 9, 2020 — The Naval Update Map shows the approximate current locations of U.S. Carrier Strike Groups (CSGs) and Amphibious Ready Groups (ARGs), based on available open-source information.

Geopolitical Calendar — Stay informed about the significant meetings and events the Stratfor team is tracking.

Global Perspectives

The Factors Motivating Turkey in Libya — Stratfor contributor Sinan Ciddi writes that by sending Turkish troops to defend Libya's U.N.-backed government, President Erdogan hopes to force a cease-fire that will protect his country's oil and gas interests in the Mediterranean and burnish his regional reputation.

Podcasts

Essential Geopolitics: The World Reacts to the U.S.-Iran Fight — In this episode of Stratfor's Essential Geopolitics podcast, Stratfor analysts Fred Burton and Ryan Bohl discuss how the world is watching the next steps in both the Iranian proxy theater and in the development of Iran's nuclear program.

Stratfor Graphic

China will expand financial liberalization in mainland cities like Shenzhen and Shanghai, as well as Macau, while solidifying financial cooperation with Singapore for the Belt and Road and other regional initiatives.

News You May Have Missed

For even more news, visit Stratfor's Situation Reports page.

  • Belarus, EU: Minsk and Brussels Sign Visa Facilitation Agreement
  • Chile: State-Owned Copper Mining Firm Raises $2 Billion From Bond Sales
  • China: Beijing to Open Up Energy Exploration for Foreign, Private Domestic Firms
  • Ethiopia: Parliament Approves Bill to Limit Gun Ownership
  • South Africa: World Bank Cuts 2020 Growth Forecast to 0.9 Percent, Citing Electricity Woes
  • Mexico: Government Not Considering New Oil Auctions in 2020, Lopez Obrador Reaffirms
  • India: New Delhi Restricts Imports of Refined Palm Oil After Malaysia Criticizes Policies

Forums

Contribute to the conversation. Share your thoughts in our forum section to engage with our analysts, editors and fellow Stratfor Worldview subscribers.

Do you still have questions about your Worldview membership? Please refer to this guide as a resource.

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