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EGF
The European Geopolitical Forum

Tuesday 15 July 2025

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The Daily Brief

Essential Reading

Lebanon Stands on the Edge of Spiraling Violence — Accelerating economic deterioration and continued political paralysis are beginning to manifest in more extreme expressions of protest anger.

It Will Take More Than the Soleimani Crisis to Cause Lasting Oil Price Spikes — Though oil markets have calmed since the U.S. strike against the Iranian general, the potential for a massive price move in the event of a major, lasting disruption remains.

With Act East, India Charts Its Ascent Into Southeast Asia — China’s growing regional dominance is driving India to bolster its own economic, security and political ties in Southeast Asia. But unlike Beijing, New Delhi lacks the deep pockets or military might to pursue its “Act East” agenda alone.

Geopolitical Calendar — Stay informed about the significant meetings and events the Stratfor team is tracking.

Stratfor Graphic

China’s expansion into India's neighborhood will continue to drive India’s own outreach in Southeast Asia and the wider Indo-Pacific.

News You May Have Missed

For even more news, visit Stratfor's Situation Reports page.

  • France: Labor Union Strikes Result in Port Disruptions
  • India: Government Reportedly Mulls Sweeteners for Apple, Samsung Suppliers
  • South Africa: Ramaphosa Gets Behind Private Power Generation Plans
  • Turkey: Central Bank Reduces Interest Rate for Fifth Straight Time
  • Libya: LNA Leader Will Continue to Implement Cease-Fire, German Foreign Minister Says
  • Ethiopia: State-Owned Airline to Start Construction on New Addis Ababa Airport Later This Year
  • Russia: Duma Approves Appointment of New Prime Minister
  • U.S., EU: Trump Threatened Auto Tariffs If European Countries Wouldn't Trigger JCPOA Dispute Resolution Mechanism, Report Says
  • Germany: Government Strikes Deal With Regions to Phase Out Coal Power by 2038
  • Syria: Erdogan Threatens to Intervene If n Government Violates Idlib Cease-Fire

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