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EGF
The European Geopolitical Forum

Tuesday 26 August 2025

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Context
Publications Georgia is Losing, and Losing Badly

Eugene KOGAN Interview by “Georgia Today” with Eugene KOGAN, Tbilisi-based defence and security expert

Georgia is not ready to defend itself if Moscow decides to invade again. And this is a very big weakness, one which should have been solved years ago and remains unresolved to this day…In Georgia, they don’t bother to ask themselves difficult questions…it’s something Georgian politicians seem to be averse to – Eugene Kogan, a researcher at the Vienna Institute of International Politics, an expert on defence and security issues in Eastern Europe and the Middle East, who has been living in Georgia for the past 10 years, told RFE/RL’s Georgian Service. We spoke to him about the role of Georgia in the region, territorial integrity, Karabakh, and the new war in the Middle East. We started with the Israel-Hamas conflict. READ MORE

  • October 26, 2023
Publications Armenia Should Avoid Replacing Foreign Policy Diversification with an Anti-Russian Strategy

Benyamin Poghosyan By Benyamin POGHOSYAN, PhD, Chairman, Center for Political and Economic Strategic Studies

Since the 2020 Nagorno Karabakh war, diversification has probably been the most-used term in discussions about the future of Armenian foreign policy. It should be noted that Armenia has sought to pursue a diversified foreign policy since the early years of independence. In parallel with establishing a strategic alliance with Russia, Armenia has launched a pragmatic partnership with the EU and NATO. Armenia signed its first IPAP (Individual Partnership Action Plan) with NATO in 2005. NATO was actively involved in the defence reforms in Armenia accelerated after 2008, including defence education and strategic defence review. Armenia joined the EU Eastern partnership initiative in 2009. It failed to conclude the Association Agreement with Deep and Comprehensive Free Trade Area. Instead, it signed the Comprehensive and Enhanced Partnership Agreement in 2017, now serving as the solid base for Armenia–EU relations. READ MORE

  • October 26, 2023
News EU’s foreign policy chief Borrell backs pause in Israel-Hamas war

Josep Borrell says getting more aid to Gaza is ‘most important thing’ as bloc debates humanitarian pause.

  • October 24, 2023
News China denies role in suspected sabotage of Finland-Estonia gas link

On October 8, a gas pipeline and a telecoms cable were broken in what Finnish investigators said may have been sabotage.

  • October 24, 2023
News Turkey’s Erdogan submits Sweden’s bid for NATO membership to parliament

Move comes after months of back-and-forth with western countries over new additions to alliance amid war in Ukraine.

  • October 24, 2023
News Russia says US will not be at the centre of ‘new world order’

Kremlin backs US President Joe Biden’s call for a new order but says any new system should not revolve around the US.

  • October 24, 2023
News ‘Not in my name’: The European Jews condemning Israel’s war on Gaza

From Glasgow to London to Barcelona, many Jewish protesters take on abuse to join pro-Palestinian rallies.

  • October 24, 2023
Publications Georgian–Turkish Relations and their Impact on Russia

Georgia By Eugene KOGAN, Tbilisi-based defence and security expert

In a nutshell, friendly relations between Georgia and Turkey are not a deterrent against potential Russian aggression against Georgia. Russia can always impose a blockade of Georgia’s Black Sea coast by using its naval assets in Sevastopol, Crimea and Ochamchire in occupied Abkhazia, thereby effectively ‘strangling’ the nascent Georgian Coast Guard. However, despite being somewhat politically marginalised by the West, Turkey remains a crucial partner for Georgia.
Georgian–Turkish relations are in essence cordial but not equal. Georgia’s Prime Minister, Irakli Garibashvili, is viewed as a junior partner in the relationship with President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan. For Georgia, Turkey represents an important partner in the volatile South Caucasus region. At the same time, enjoying friendly relations with Georgia as a transit country for oil, gas and cargo trains from Azerbaijan to Turkey, known as the Baku-Tbilisi-Kars (BTK) railway, is important for Turkey. Moreover, cargo transferred by road from Russia and Azerbaijan via Georgia to Turkey is a basic necessity. Bilateral relations are mainly focused on the economy and, occasionally, the Turkish military donates or sells military equipment to the Georgian Defence Forces (GDF). READ MORE

  • October 19, 2023
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