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Sunday 14 September 2025

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Context
Publications Azerbaijan Moves to Disarm Karabakh Separatists (Part One)

Vusal GULIYEV By Vasif HUSEYNOV, PhD, Head of Department, AIR Center, Adjunct Lecturer, ADA and Khazar Universities, Baku

On September 19, the Azerbaijani Defence Ministry announced it had launched an “anti-terrorist” operation against “illegal formations” in Karabakh. This move came after four Azerbaijani soldiers and two civilians were killed by land mines in the region. Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan condemned the “full-scale aggression” and denounced Russian peacekeepers for “failing to do their jobs’.
The recent fighting comes as tensions had been mounting over Baku’s efforts to fully integrate Karabakh back into Azerbaijan. This measure had been stipulated in the tripartite agreement signed by Azerbaijan, Armenia and Russia following the end of the Second Karabakh War in November 2020. Russian peacekeepers were stationed in the region to facilitate implementation of the measure; yet, they have done little since to constructively manage the process. READ MORE

  • September 25, 2023
Publications The Geopolitical Background of the Moscow-Yerevan Rift and Russia’s Future in the Region

Yeghia TASHJIAN By Yeghia TASHJIAN, Beirut-based regional analyst and researcher, columnist, "The Armenian Weekly”

Recent geopolitical developments in the South Caucasus have once again appeared in the headlines of media and analytical centers. Experts have been questioning whether Russia is distancing itself from the region. Armenian regional experts and officials have been questioning Russia’s motives in the region, considering developments in Artsakh and the latest Azerbaijani escalation. Russia is navigating the narrow complexities of the post-2020 Artsakh War regional architecture, asserting itself as the main power broker in the region (i.e. brokering the 2020 trilateral ceasefire agreement, arranging humanitarian aid to Artsakh via the Berdzor Corridor and Aghdam, and possibly a new deal in the coming days) through compromise or political flexibility. This flexibility has caused friction in Moscow-Yerevan relations.
Many in Russia, including high officials, are suspicious of Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan’s motives towards their country. The Armenian leader has speculated that Russia seems to be leaving the region. However, Russia still views the region as “blizhnee zarubezhe” (its “near abroad”) or its “lebensraum” (its “vital space”). From Russia’s perspective, if it leaves the South Caucasus, its only route to the Middle East would be cut off, Iran and Turkey would clash for power, and the North Caucasus would become vulnerable to instability. READ MORE

  • September 25, 2023
News Sudan army chief warns UN that war could spill over, engulf region

Sudan army leader Abdel Fattah al-Burhan also called for rival Rapid Support Forces to be designated as ‘terrorists’.

  • September 22, 2023
News Revealed: Ex-Nigerian gov’t official to share in $11bn gas scandal damages

Grace Taiga, who received money from P&ID before the signing, is one of three Nigerians who will get a share of the landmark award if the court orders Nigeria to pay.

  • September 22, 2023
News Azerbaijan troops ‘all around’ Nagorno-Karabakh separatist stronghold

Armenians demand their leader’s resignation for a third day after Azerbaijan’s offensive to recapture the Armenian-populated enclave.

  • September 22, 2023
News Ukraine hits Black Sea navy HQ in Crimea missile attack, one dead

At least one person has been killed and a fire was sparked in Kyiv’s latest assault on the annexed peninsula, according to Russia.

  • September 22, 2023
News Ukraine recaptures Klishchiivka, second eastern village in three days

Zelenskyy welcomes breakthrough that analysts say is of ‘strategic significance’ to the war in the east.

  • September 18, 2023
News Russia-Ukraine war live: Ukraine’s Zelenskyy, Brazil’s Lula to meet Wed

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Brazil’s Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva will meet Wednesday in New York, says the Brazilian president’s office.

  • September 18, 2023
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