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Friday 9 May 2025

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Context on External Relations
Publications After Samarkand Summit, the OTS Charts a More Independent Course

Fuad Shahbazov By Fuad SHAHBAZOV, Baku-based independent regional security and defence analyst

On November 11, a summit of the leaders of the Organization of Turkic States (OTS) convened in Samarkand, Uzbekistan. This major gathering came amid the OTS’s re-emerging significance as a key regional organization and a critical platform for rapprochement between the Central Asia and Caucasus regions. The official Samarkand Declaration, which was signed as a final accord by the attendees, paves the way for a comprehensive partnership format among the OTS member states. The Samarkand meeting represented the major political gathering for the Turkic nations in 2022, and it will further facilitate dialogue and regional interconnectivity between the OTS member states—independent of Russian and Western influence. READ MORE

  • November 19, 2022
Publications Harmonising the Different Formats in Armenia-Azerbaijan Negotiations

Benyamin Poghosyan By Benyamin POGHOSYAN, PhD, Chairman, Center for Political and Economic Strategic Studies

Over the last year multiple formats have emerged in Armenia-Azerbaijan negotiations, and three main external players: Russia, the EU and the US are involved in the mediation process. This may lead to some confusion. Big power rivalry may also negatively impact the process. Some co-ordinating mechanism is necessary, and a format, at least involving Russia and the EU, could also help to combine their efforts.

While the South Caucasus marked the second anniversary of the 2020 Nagorno Karabakh war, negotiations to sign a peace agreement between Armenia – Azerbaijan have become increasingly complex. If during the first year after the war, it was Russia that almost exclusively controlled the process, now we have many actors with contradicting interests and visions. The EU entered the game first, organizing four summits between Armenian and Azerbaijani leaders in the period of December 2021 – August 2022, simultaneously launching a new format of negotiations between the Secretary of the Armenian security council and top foreign policy aide to President Aliyev. Russia was watching the growing EU involvement in the process, messaging its concerns about the EU's desire to take the initiative from the Kremlin. READ MORE

  • November 19, 2022
News What are Russia and Ukraine’s military options for this winter?

As temperatures slowly sink, the nature of the fighting will change sharply for both sides.

  • November 18, 2022
News Russia-Ukraine live news: Kyiv experts ‘at site of Poland blast’

Ukrainian experts are working at the site of an explosion in Poland, where a missile killed two people on Tuesday, Ukrainian Foreign Minister Dmytro Kuleba said.

  • November 18, 2022
News Traces of explosives found at Nord Stream pipelines, Sweden says

Swedish prosecutors confirm gas pipelines were sabotaged as probe continues in attempt to identify suspects.

  • November 18, 2022
News Anti-Western and hyper macho, Putin’s appeal in Southeast Asia

Soviet-era nostalgia and anti-Western sentiment fuel online support for Russia’s Vladimir Putin and his war on Ukraine.

  • November 18, 2022
News ‘Not Ukraine’s fault’: NATO says Russia to blame for Poland blast

NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg said on Wednesday that a deadly explosion in Poland was probably the result of Ukrainian anti-aircraft fire, but that Russia bears “ultimate responsibility” since Moscow is behind the war.

  • November 16, 2022
News What we know about the explosion in Poland

The missile blast has intensified global fears about the Ukraine war spiralling even further.

  • November 16, 2022
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