In a recent interview for "The Voice of Russia", EGF Expert on Radical Islamic Movements, Mikhail Roshchin, explained the political dynamics emerging between Islamist and secular political parties in Egypt following recent parliamentary elections. His key message for all stakeholders engaged in the formation of new governance institutions in Egypt was that the Muslim Brotherhood, which now forms the largest political bloc in Egypt's new parliament, is more likely to broker political deals with secular parties rather than develop any sense of "ideological alliances" with other, more radical, Islamist factions. This will most likely remove the concerns over "new shades of green" emerging in the ensuing Egyptian political landscape and lead to further fragmentation of the political environment in advance of the country's looming presidential elections, which are currently scheduled for June 2012. Click HERE for the entire interview.
 

• M. Roshchin  |  Published on EGF: 16.02.2012  |  External Relations
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ISSUE #4
02/06/2012
Ukraine's ruling Party of Regions has refused to decriminalize the articles of the Ukrainian Criminal Procedures Code under which former Prime Minister Yuliya Tymoshenko was convicted. On 31 January 2012, the Party of Regions parliamentary faction's head, Oleksandr Yefremov, said that his party had no intention to consider the decriminalization of Article 364 entitled “Abuse of power or position” and Article 365 which deals with exceeding one's power or authority. These are the articles under which Yuliya Tymoshenko was sentenced to seven years behind bars. “The faction did not take other decisions,” the politician explained. READ MORE

• Gorshenin Weekly  |  Published on EGF: 14.02.2012  |  External Relations
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ISSUE #5
02/13/2012
On 9 February 2012, the Ukrainian parliament adopted in the first reading a presidential draft of the Criminal Procedure Code (CPC). The Ukrainian news and analysis website Lb.ua reported that the presidential draft of the CPC was registered in parliament on 13 January 2012. A group of lawmakers headed by presidential advisor Andriy Portnov has been working on it for a year and a half. READ MORE

• Gorshenin Weekly  |  Published on EGF: 14.02.2012  |  External Relations
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ISSUE #3
01/30/2012
A new criminal case which was launched against former Ukrainian Prime Minister Yuliya Tymoshenko will be submitted to a court in the near future.
The Ukrainian news and analysis website Lb.ua cited Ukrainian President Viktor Yanukovych as saying in Davos on 27 January 2011 that the criminal cases over the corporation United Energy Systems of Ukraine (UESU), which had been opened against former Prime Minister Yuliya Tymoshenko would be submitted for a court's consideration in the near future. READ MORE

• Gorshenin Weekly  |  Published on EGF: 06.02.2012  |  External Relations
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ISSUE #2
01/23/2012
On 20 January 2012, Ukrainian Prime Minister Mykola Azarov has said that Ukraine and Russia are nearing the final stage of gas negotiations.
At the same time, he stressed that Ukraine considers the setting up of a trilateral consortium for managing the gas transportation system the only possible option. READ MORE

• Gorshenin Weekly  |  Published on EGF: 06.02.2012  |  External Relations
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ISSUE #1
01/16/2011
The next round of the gas talks between Ukrainian Energy and Coal Industry Minister Yuriy Boyko and Gazprom's CEO Aleksey Miller will be held in Moscow on 17 January. The Ukrainian news and analysis website Lb.ua quoted Miller as telling Russian Prime Minister Vladimir Putin on 10 January 2012 that in the process of the negotiations, the Ukrainian party was linking a gas price discount to the setting up of a gas transportation consortium between the two countries. According to Miller, if Ukraine purchases 40bn cu.m. of gas, the discount will be 9bn dollars annually. At the same time, the Gazprom CEO said that the Ukrainian gas transportation system is worth 20bn dollars. READ MORE

• Gorshenin Weekly  |  Published on EGF: 06.02.2012  |  External Relations
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Karabakh conflict

Angela Khachatryan, the Zhamanak (Time), www.1in.am portal (Armenia)
- Mr. Terterov, what effect can the crisis in Europe have on the countries of association partners to the EU, of which Armenia is one?

MT: I think the main point to take here is the question of whether countries in the EU’s Eastern Partnership framework, or those coming into the wider-European Neighbourhood context, are a priority for EU external relations strategies. Clearly, some countries come higher up the EU pegging order than others. This also depends on which EU member states holds important positions in the EU institutions, including the rotational presidency of the Council of the European Union, and the foreign policy strategies which those countries entertain. Clearly, when France holds the presidency, one can assume that greater EU external policy resources will be directed towards the South Bank Mediterranean countries. This is also likely to be the case even more so now with the EU having to show its “interest” in the region in way of developments associated with the Arab Spring. When Poland, for example, holds the presidency, it is likely greater EU foreign policy resources will be directed towards Ukraine and Belarus. READ MORE

• EGF Editorial  |  Published on EGF: 05.02.2012  |  External Relations
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Insights into Turkish Domestic and International Politics during December 2011

Key Points:

• The TSK mistakenly bombs unarmed Kurdish smugglers near the Iraqi border, adding yet another incident that sets back Turkish-Kurdish relations and possibly fueling further violence.
• Military, economic and political ties are severed between France and NATO ally Turkey following the National Assembly’s vote to move an Armenian genocide bill forward.
• Turkey’s Central Bank sells off over $1 billion in dollars to combat rising inflation, though by month’s end the rate had surpassed 10%.
• Azerbaijan and Turkey agree to a new gas transport and supply deal for the Shah Deniz field, upsetting some in Brussels who feel the new pipeline could undermine the time consuming progress for NABUCCO. READ MORE

• EGF Editorial  |  Published on EGF: 21.01.2012  |  External Relations
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Following the earthquake on October 23, 2011, a second powerful tremor struck eastern Turkey on November 9, killing 40 people including a Japanese rescue worker and two Turkish journalists who were covering the aftermath of the October quake.
The strong quake came on top of a severe cold snap that left much of the province of Van covered in snow, as refugees in the stricken city of Ecris continued to live out of tents. READ MORE

• EGF Editorial  |  Published on EGF: 30.12.2011  |  External Relations
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ISSUE #38
11/07/2011
The visit by the International Monetary Fund (IMF) has yielded no significant result. On November 4, 2011, Max Alier, the IMF Resident Representative in Ukraine, announced that the fund has decided to take a pause in negotiations with Ukraine “to enable some additional technical work to be carried out.” “Policy discussions are expected to resume in the near future,” he noted. READ MORE

• Gorshenin Weekly  |  Published on EGF: 23.11.2011  |  External Relations
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