The South-West Transport Corridor Project and the Geopolitical Reshaping of the South Caucasus
By Fuad Shahbazov, Expert-advisor, Center for Strategic Studies under the President of the Azerbaijan Republic
Baku hosted the first joint gathering of the heads of the railway administrations of Iran, Azerbaijan, Georgia, Ukraine and Poland, on June 19. The meeting was dedicated to the newly-launched “South-West Transport Corridor,” which links into the broader Trans-Caspian International Route project launched in 2016. READ MORE
Armenia's Russian Hug
By Benyamin Poghosyan, PhD, Executive Director, Political Science Association of Armenia
Russia effectively uses the complicated geopolitical situation of Armenia to strengthen its grip on Yerevan, and uses its alliance with Armenia as an efficient tool to further its position in the South Caucasus.
Alliance with Russia is the cornerstone of Armenian foreign and security policy. Armenia is a member of the Collective Security Treaty Organization, the Russia-led military block comprising six former Soviet republics. A Russian military base is deployed in Armenia, and will be there at least until 2044. Armenia has a joint air defense system with Russia, and in 2016 the two countries formed a joint military force. READ MORE
- EGF Editor |
| External Relations
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Is a new U-turn possible in Armenia-EU relations? By Benyamin Poghosyan, PhD, Executive Director, Political Science Association of Armenia
Chances that Armenia will change its mind again about its relations with the EU are low, but this can still happen if Russia's relations with the west deteriorate further.
On March 21, 2017, Armenia and the EU initialed a new Comprehensive and Enhanced Partnership Agreement. This achievement was perceived as a critical step forward in fostering bilateral relations following a period of bitter disappointment in both Brussels and among the pro-European Armenians after the abrupt decision by Armenia, in September 2013, to withdraw from its negotiated Association Agreement with the EU, while choosing to join instead the Russia led Eurasian Economic Union - EAEU. READ MORE
- EGF Editor |
Published on EGF: 04.07.2017
| External Relations
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Turkey's Relations with and Relevance for NATO
By Eugene Kogan, Tbilisi-based defence and security expert
It should be remembered that Turkey’s relations with NATO were not as smooth as perhaps some experts wished to think, even before the failed coup on 15 July 2016. For instance, back in November 2009 the AKP government was adamant that despite Turkish soldiers’ participation in the ISAF mission they were not combat troops. Turkey's position at the time irked allies in NATO and the US in particular, and it has not changed since then. READ MORE
- EGF Editro |
Published on EGF: 24.06.2017
| Security
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NATO and Turkey continue to need each other By Benyamin Poghosyan, PhD, Executive Director, Political Science Association of Armenia
In recent months, Turkey has been facing increasing difficulties with key NATO member states. The United States' growing reliance on Syrian Kurdish forces in Syria as a key force capable of effectively fighting Islamic State and US President Donald Trump's decision to arm Kurdish YPG units placed additional strains on bilateral US-Turkey relations, which have been sharply deteriorating since the July 2016 military coup and with Turkey's unsuccessful efforts to organize Fethullah Gulen's extradition from the US. READ MORE
- EGF Editor |
Published on EGF: 17.06.2017
| Security
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Fall-out from Trump's Middle East Policy in the South Caucasus? By Benyamin Poghosyan, PhD, Executive Director, Political Science Association of Armenia
Trump's hard line approach towards Iran may derail ambitious plans to develop North-South trade and transport corridors in the South Caucasus.
On May 20, 2017, US President Donald Trump arrived in Saudi Arabia on his first stop of his week-long international trip. The new US President chose the Saudi visit as a focal point for presenting key pillars of his Middle East policy. Delivering a speech to the Arab - Islamic - American Summit, President Trump stressed the significance of the fight against terrorism and the important role regional states have to play in that struggle. Another key point of his speech was tough criticism directed against Iran. READ MORE
- EGF Editor |
Published on EGF: 07.06.2017
| External Relations
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China's "Belt and Road" Initiative: Game Changer for the South Caucasus By Benyamin Poghosyan, PhD, Executive Director, Political Science Association of Armenia
On 14-15 May 2017, 29 world leaders, including Russian President Vladimir Putin and Turkish President Erdogan, gathered in Beijing for the international forum of the "Belt and Road" initiative. The Forum was the biggest event since the launch of the 'One belt one Road' initiative put forward by Chinese President Xi Jinping in 2013. China invited countries and regions to jointly build the Silk Road Economic Belt and the 21st Century Maritime Silk Road with at least five routes of economic cooperation. READ MORE
- EGF Editor |
Published on EGF: 22.05.2017
| External Relations
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Armenia Takes Leading Position in CSTO By Benyamin Poghosyan, PhD, Executive Director, Political Science Association of Armenia
An Armenian general is now at the helm of the CSTO military alliance. This may prove to be a double edged sword for Armenia.
The South Caucasus is one of the battlefields in the current Russia-West confrontation. As a part of the former Soviet space, the region is perceived by Russia as an area of its legitimate "special interests." For the West, including the United States, NATO and the EU, the view of the region is defined by its role as a key transit route for Caspian energy resources to reach Europe circumventing Russia, and as an important gateway to exert influence in the nearby Middle East. Regional geopolitical competition is further complicated by the onset of Iran and Turkey. READ MORE
- EGF Editor |
Published on EGF: 08.05.2017
| Security
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Iran-Russia Relations in the South Caucasus
By Benyamin Poghosyan, PhD, Executive Director, Political Science Association of Armenia
Russia and Iran for the moment have shared interest in containing western and Turkish influence in the South Caucasus. In the longer term, however, their relationship in the region is likely to become more competitive than cooperative. READ MORE
- EGF Editor |
Published on EGF: 21.04.2017
| External Relations
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Is US–Russia Rapprochement Still Possible?
By Benyamin Poghosyan, PhD, Executive Director, Political Science Association of Armenia
The perspectives of the US – Russia relations under the Trump Administration is one of the key foreign policy issues hotly debated in political and expert circles both in the US, Russia and elsewhere. The steep deterioration of bilateral relations since the start of the third Presidential term of Vladimir Putin brought back into the scene almost forgotten terminology of “Cold War”, “containment”, “great power rivalry”. READ MORE
- EGF Editor |
Published on EGF: 12.04.2017
| External Relations
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