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The European Geopolitical Forum

Saturday 12 July 2025

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Context on External Relations
Publications Russia-Azerbaijan Tensions Escalate to Unprecedented Level

Vasif HUSEYNOV By Vasif HUSEYNOV, PhD, Head of Department, AIR Center, Adjunct Lecturer, ADA and Khazar Universities, Baku

On June 27, Russian special forces conducted a violent raid in Ekaterinburg targeting ethnic Azerbaijanis. This sparked a significant escalation in tensions between Baku and Moscow, further straining an already fragile bilateral relationship. The operation, which focused on a group of Azerbaijanis suspected of murder in the early 2000s, resulted in the extrajudicial killing of two brothers, Ziyaddin and Huseyn Safarov, and injuries to several others, with nine individuals detained. According to Azerbaijani media, the raid involved brutal tactics, including beatings, electric shocks, and degrading treatment, prompting a fierce reaction from Baku. Azerbaijan’s Foreign Ministry issued a strong response, demanding a prompt investigation and prosecution of those responsible, and the country’s Prosecutor General launched a criminal case accusing Russian police of torturing and deliberately killing the brothers. Azerbaijani authorities and media have framed the incident as a deliberate act of ethnic violence, with the Prosecutor General’s office alleging that the brothers died from “post-traumatic shock” after severe beating”. READ MORE

  • July 9, 2025
Publications India’s Balancing Act in the Iran-Israel War: A Case for Peace-making?

Shanthie Mariet D’Souza By Shanthie Mariet D’Souza, PhD, founder & president, Mantraya Institute for Strategic Studies (MISS)

Yoga, which originated in ancient India, features many asanas (physical postures) focused on enabling the human body to find a fine balance, while stretching the limbs to achieve maximum flexibility. India uses yoga as a tool of its soft power, celebrating International Yoga Day on June 21 every year, and the present Indian foreign policy making often mirrors such asanas. When faced with stark situations such as taking sides between warring states, New Delhi tends to fall back on a balancing act, avoiding taking sides and advocating diplomacy and de-escalation. However, finding the right balance in matters of statecraft is a tough task, particularly when one side has been perceived to be favoured over the other in the past, but those warm relations are no longer the same. India’s stance on the Israel-Iran conflict contains many such contradictions. READ MORE

  • July 3, 2025
News EU leaders meet to discuss sanctions, tariffs, and Middle East policy

EU leaders gather in Brussels to address sanctions on Russia, US tariffs, and Middle East conflicts.

  • June 27, 2025
News Why is NATO boosting defence spending and can Europe afford it?

In a political win for US President Donald Trump, NATO member states have endorsed a big new defence spending target.

  • June 27, 2025
News Trump says US has signed trade deal with China

China’s Ministry of Commerce says the two sides “further confirmed the details of the framework.”

  • June 27, 2025
News Trump with NATO ‘all the way’ on Article 5 as leaders gather at summit

President Donald Trump previously said the US commitment to mutual defence guarantees ‘depends on your definition’.

  • June 26, 2025
News Trump compares Iran strikes to Hiroshima and Nagasaki

US President Donald Trump has compared the US strikes in Iran to the nuclear bombs dropped on Hiroshima and Nagasaki, telling reporters at the NATO summit in The Hague the attacks “ended the war” and prevented further conflict.

  • June 26, 2025
News Iran attacks overshadow NATO summit on new defence spending deal

At the NATO summit US President Trump claimed Iran’s nuclear sites were “obliterated,” contradicting a leaked US intelligence report. NATO allies have agreed to raise defence spending to 5% of GDP by 2035. Al Jazeera’s James Bays reports.

  • June 26, 2025
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