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EGF
The European Geopolitical Forum

Monday 18 August 2025

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Context
News What is the missile treaty Russia has walked out of – and why?

The Kremlin has accused Washington of deploying missile platforms around the world. But did the treaty matter even earlier?

  • August 6, 2025
News US envoy Witkoff meets Russia’s Putin for Ukraine war talks

President Donald Trump has warned that he would impose sanctions on Russia if Moscow does not agree to a ceasefire.

  • August 6, 2025
News Russia, China naval forces to carry out joint Asia Pacific patrol: Report

Russian Pacific Fleet says joint patrol with China in the Asia Pacific will follow naval drill in the Sea of Japan.

  • August 6, 2025
News Why is Trump moving nuclear submarines after spat with Medvedev?

Trump’s announcement follows a war of words with former Russian president over social media.

  • August 4, 2025
News Ukraine claims drone strike on oil refinery in Russia

Video shows a massive explosion at a Russian oil facility in Novokuybyshevsk, 1,000km from the Ukrainian border. Ukraine’s military says it used drones to target several sites inside Russia, including refineries, an airfield, and an electronics plant.

  • August 4, 2025
News China and Russia begin joint military drills in Sea of Japan

Joint Sea-2025 exercises begin in waters near Russian port of Vladivostok and will last for three days, China’s Defence Ministry says.

  • August 4, 2025
Publications Armenia and Azerbaijan have taken a new route in their quest for peace

Benyamin Poghosyan Lara SETRAKIAN By Benyamin POGHOSYAN, PhD, Senior Research Fellow at the APRI Armenia
Lara SETRAKIAN, President, APRI Armenia

Political scientists and wider civil society from Armenia and Azerbaijan don’t often see eye to eye. After decades of war between the two countries their grievances run deep, with each side blaming the other for continued rounds of conflict. But experts in Yerevan and Baku can now agree on one thing: the meeting held in Abu Dhabi on July 10 between their heads of government was a moment of respite for the South Caucasus. After months without a major meeting between the two sides (the leaders met briefly at the margins of the European Political Community summit in Tirana in May), Abu Dhabi was able to host their most comprehensive gathering in known history, attended by representatives who cover all key aspects of the Armenia-Azerbaijan peace process. Still, expectations should be managed. The two sides may yet be very far from signing a peace agreement, though a draft was announced earlier this year. There are thorny issues, like border demarcation, that remain unresolved. And there are competing visions for how the future of transport links should evolve. Nonetheless, the Abu Dhabi meeting has revived the diplomatic track, giving new hope for peace and stability, while calming fears of an imminent outbreak of war. READ MORE

  • July 31, 2025
Publications The Limits of Pragmatic Intentions: The Evolving Story of China-India Rapprochement

Shanthie Mariet D’Souza By Shanthie Mariet D’Souza, PhD, founder & president, Mantraya Institute for Strategic Studies (MISS)

While the intention to reset China-India bilateral relations seems real, both the drivers and the outcomes need a careful analysis.
We live in a world of constant flux. Nations, over time, discover a variety of reasons – geopolitical or otherwise – to become friends or foes, based on their national interests. China-India relations aren’t immune from this truism. The trend in the past decade has seen the two neighbours embracing each other and then falling out. And after years of bickering and contestation, the time has come again for them to explore yet another round of engagement. Is the current rapprochement merely opportunistic and temporary? Or is it geared toward a long-term solution of their contestations driven by extraneous factors and geopolitical uncertainty?
On July 23, the 34th meeting of the Working Mechanism for Consultation and Coordination on China-India Border Affairs took place in New Delhi. The meeting discussed issues relating to strengthening border management and maintaining calm along their contested border. More concrete discussions on the “boundary question” are expected to be held when the special representatives of both countries meet for the 24th time later this year. READ MORE

  • July 31, 2025
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