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EGF
The European Geopolitical Forum

Wednesday 4 February 2026

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Context
News Renewables muscle fossil fuels out of EU electricity market, says research

Solar and wind power provided more electricity than coal and gas last year, leading a global trend, said think tank Ember.

  • January 22, 2026
News Japan shuts reactor at world’s biggest nuclear plant a day after restart

Restart of No 6 reactor at Kashiwazaki-Kariwa plant suspended after malfunction related to control rods.

  • January 22, 2026
News Trump’s Greenland pact will demand allies boost Arctic security: NATO chief

Mark Rutte’s comments to Reuters come as European allies scramble to respond to Donald Trump’s about-face on US tariffs, Greenland threats.

  • January 22, 2026
News Trump’s Greenland tariffs: What’s Europe’s ‘bazooka’ option to hit back?

After tariff threats against Europe, Trump renews bid for Greenland in message to Norway as EU mulls retaliation.

  • January 20, 2026
News Trump asks Putin to join Gaza ‘board of peace’ even as Ukraine war rages

The Kremlin says it is seeking to “clarify all the nuances” of the offer from Washington.

  • January 20, 2026
News Denmark sends more troops to Greenland amid tensions with Trump

Nordic country dispatches ‘substantial contribution’ of troops to the Arctic territory amid standoff with Washington.

  • January 20, 2026
News Keir Starmer says Trump’s tariffs over Greenland are ‘completely wrong’

UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer said Donald Trump’s threats to impose tariffs on allies over Greenland are ‘completely wrong’, adding that Greenland’s future should be decided solely by the people of Greenland and Denmark.

  • January 20, 2026
Publications How the 2025 NSS Reshapes U.S. Engagement in the South Caucasus

Aytaс MAHAMMADOVA By Aytaс MAHAMMADOVA, Energy Security Expert affiliated with the Caspian-Alpine Society

The South Caucasus has long occupied an ambiguous place in American foreign policy, neither central to U.S. national security nor irrelevant to it. The region has historically mattered insofar as it intersected with larger geopolitical contests: between Russia and the West, between energy producers and consumers, and between stability and fragmentation along Eurasia's inner frontier. The 2025 U.S. National Security Strategy codifies a shift that will sharpen this logic, moving the United States decisively away from expansive regional engagement toward selective, interest-driven involvement. While the document does not explicitly address the South Caucasus in its regional sections, its underlying principles, such as restraint, burden-sharing, transactional-ism, and rejection of transformational agendas, will fundamentally reshape Washington's engagement with the South Caucasus states. This recalibration reflects broader strategic realities: finite American resources, diminished appetite for open-ended commitments, and recognition that regional outcomes will ultimately be determined by local power dynamics rather than external patronage. READ MORE

  • January 13, 2026
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