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EGF
The European Geopolitical Forum

Tuesday 13 April 2021

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Discussion on Energy
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  • Archive
Nuclear Energy for Uzbekistan: Achieving Decarbonization Targets and Resolving Energy Shortages

Nuclear Energy for Uzbekistan: Achieving Decarbonization Targets and Resolving Energy Shortages Embassy of the Republic of Uzbekistan in the Kingdom of Belgium

On 29 January 2021 the Brussels-based media outlet EU Today and the Brussels Press Club in Brussels hosted a conference dedicated to the construction of nuclear power plants in Belarus, Turkey and Uzbekistan. Despite the fact that plans for the construction of new power units are being considered at various stages both in the EU member states-Finland, Hungary, the Czech Republic, Bulgaria, and in the UK, Pakistan, the United Arab Emirates, etc., the discussion was focused on these countries. Much attention at the conference was paid to the construction of nuclear power plants in Uzbekistan. READ MORE

  • April 7, 2021 22:28PM
The Role of the ESP in Gazprom’s European Sales Strategy

Jack Sharples By Jack Sharples, PhD, Research Fellow of the Oxford Institute of Energy Studies and EGF Associate Researcher on the External Dimensions of Russian Gas

Gazprom Export launched its Electronic Sales Platform (ESP) in the context of an increasingly competitive European market. Sales volumes have grown, and have averaged 2 bcm per month since April 2019. As a result of this growth, the ESP is now a key part of Gazprom’s European sales strategy: It generates additional sales revenues, optimises Gazprom’s use of is physical export infrastructure, and provides a constant flow of valuable market data that informs Gazprom’s wider sales strategy. Sales are largely concentrated in four countries, while deliveries are split between Ukrainian and non-Ukrainian routes. ESP sales prices closely track European hub prices for comparable products, and the sales volumes show that Gazprom’s counterparties consider the ESP an attractive offering. The operation of the ESP highlights the crucial element of Gazprom’s European sales strategy: The importance of nuanced optimisation, as Gazprom seeks to maximise its sales volumes without placing excessive downward pressure on European hub prices that would impact revenues from its hub-indexed LTC portfolio. Overall, the ESP demonstrates how far Gazprom has evolved in the past decade, as it seeks to retain market share on an increasingly competitive European market. READ MORE

  • April 7, 2021 22:08PM
The Black Sea-Caspian Region in Post-Conflict Energy Security Cooperation Scenarios

Elkhan Nuriyev By Elkhan Nuriyev, BREC Global Energy Associate, EGF Affiliated Expert

This opinion piece applies post-conflict scenario planning to the future of the regional energy security cooperation in the Black Sea-Caspian basin and describes collaborative steps that could be taken by all relevant players to think more deeply about promoting the integration of energy markets in this part of the world.
Notwithstanding the most acute unpredictability of the new societies in Eastern Europe, the South Caucasus and Central Asia in the 1990s, the young states simultaneously faced the need for intense capital investments in their energy sectors that could drive economic growth. Since then, both the Black Sea and the Caspian basin alike have become crossroads for increased commerce and economic development as the old Silk Road is revived. READ MORE

  • October 2, 2017 21:25PM
Who Will Pay for Making America Great Again?

Who Will Pay for Making America Great Again? Sergey Korol,
European Geopolitical Forum


American politics, in general, and its energy version in particular, resemble a chess game but according to the rules of American football. The US plans to become a leading player in the world energy market do not coincide with the interests of other major players, including OPEC countries and Russia. READ MORE

  • August 18, 2017 05:29AM
Despite hopes, Substantial Obstacles Remain for Near-Term Iraqi Gas Exports

Ahmed Mousa Jiyad,
EGF Affiliated Expert


Following closely after the ground-breaking Turkey-Russia gas export/pipeline MoU announced last week, another agreement was publicized between the Iraqi government and the KRG that could send additional KRG gas to Turkey. Some argue that, if the KRG ramps up and exports significant volumes, it could pose problems for Putin’s new plan. EGF Affiliated Expert Ahmed Mousa Jiyad explains why this is unlikely. READ MORE

  • December 10, 2014 10:54AM
Romania’s Energy Strategy Options: Current Trends in Eastern Europe’s Natural Gas Markets

RaduDudau.png Dr Radu Dudau,
director of the Energy Policy Group Bucharest (EGF Information Partner)


Romania’s most important foreign energy policy project, the Nabucco gas pipeline, collapsed in June 2013 as the rivaling TAP (Trans-Adriatic Pipeline) won the bidding for transporting Azerbaijani gas to the EU. Hence, the Southern Gas Corridor (SGC) will link the Caspian Basin to Southern Italy via Turkey, Greece, Albania, and the Adriatic Sea. Shah Deniz consortium’s choice was predominantly commercial, yet it came to the detriment of Eastern Europe’s strategic necessities. But, although left with no large scale international project, Romania keeps significant options to improve its energy security on the medium term. This paper reviews Romania’s prospective new sources –internal and external – of primary energy. READ MORE

  • November 25, 2014 20:54PM
Implications of the Crimea Crisis for Energy Markets: Vulnerabilities of Markets and Weakness of States

Dr Andrei V. Belyi,
EGF Guest Contributor


A crisis of international governance spreads into the political sphere and puts under peril the peace between the Russia and Ukraine, in addition to heightening tension between Russia and the West. The political rhetoric from Brussels, Moscow and Washington increasingly resembles that of the Cold War. Many ask if there are serious implications in security of energy supply, as well as in investment and trade, either among causes or consequences of current events. The current situation demonstrates a deep vulnerability of states in the face of markets, and will be analysed along three groups of energy implications: transit-supply flows, investments and effects of sanctions. READ MORE

  • November 25, 2014 20:53PM
Energy Relations between Gas-Troika Members and the European Union

scan0001.jpg Fatemeh Shayan, University of Eshfahan, Iran
University of Tampere, Finland
Guest contributor to EGF


Do such organisations exist beyond the ‘self fulfilling prophecy’ level?
Much research has examined energy relations between the European Union (EU) and Russia,[1] but not the larger picture of energy relations between the EU and the Gas-Troika, made up of members Russia, Iran and Qatar. Although the Gas-Troika is in an early stage of development, increasing demand for gas, especially from the EU, has noticed members to attempt to present it as a future gas superpower. READ MORE

  • January 17, 2014 07:57AM
Dissecting the prospects for South Stream beyond the media hype

image_1.jpgBy Valentin Stoyanov
EGF Affiliated Expert

Gazprom’s South Stream gas pipeline project has been highly visible in the European media in recent months and appears to be going from strength to strength. The project seems to have high level political support and there is much speculation that actual construction is imminent, particularly in Serbia and Bulgaria. There are also rumors that the Russian company, Stroytransgaz, has signed “construction contracts” and is ready to commence operations. Further, in December 2012 there was even a symbolic first welding of pipes in the Russian coastal town of Anapa. For better or for worse, and taking into account the wider energy security debate between the EU and Russia, all of these developments appear to reflect “evidence” that the South Stream project is just about upon us. READ MORE

  • September 25, 2013 03:25AM
  • 3 comments
Guest contribution: Gazprom is still relevant to the EU market, but for how long?

natasha_110.jpgby Professor Natasha Udensiva
The U.S. shale gas revolution is spreading: more and more countries are talking about developing their own shale gas resources. How is this relevant for Gazprom? It is relevant because, with more countries developing their natural gas resources, Gazprom’s once-powerful monopoly may soon lose its hold on the European market. So far, the company’s strategy has relied on the exclusiveness of its vast resources. But shale development is undermining this very quickly. Soon, access to technology will trump resource access. Then, Gazprom’s only chance of reasserting its presence will be to lower its prices. READ MORE

  • September 2, 2013 15:33PM
  • 1 comments

Documents

  • Joint Declaration on the Southern Gas Corridor
  • Energy and Geopolitics in Eurasia: why has energy become factor of tension rather than a factor of cooperation?
  • International Conference Gas Forum 2010, Warsaw, Poland
  • Agreement for cooperation in the peaceful uses of nuclear energy between the European Atomic Energy Community (Euratom) and the Government of the Republic of Uzbekistan
  • Agreement between the Government of Japan and the European Atomic Energy Community for co-operation in the peaceful uses of nuclear energy
  • Cooperation Agreement between the European Atomic Energy Community and the International Atomic Energy Agency
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Context

  • News Germany says further sanctions against Russia must target right people
  • Publications The Role of the ESP in Gazprom’s European Sales Strategy
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