By George Niculescu, Head of Research, The European Geopolitical Forum
Why use the OSCE to take a “jibe” at you know who ?
When on 6 December 2012, in the margins of the OSCE ministerial meeting in Dublin, the US state secretary Ms. Hillary Clinton warned about "a new effort by oppressive governments to "re-Sovietize" much of Eastern Europe and Central Asia" , many observers of Eurasian affairs might have wondered why she lashed out at Russia just before meeting foreign minister Sergey Lavrov to discuss the Syrian crisis. READ MORE
George Niculescu |
Опубликовано на EGF: 08.01.2013
| Markets
In this research, we attempt to take a more pragmatic approach towards the topic of the conflict resolution process between Armenia and Azerbaijan over Nagorno-Karabakh. We believe this process remains in a dangerous state of stalemate at the time of writing. More specifically, we ask whether economic incentives could help break the current deadlock. In order to do this, we posed a series of questions to a notable range of international experts familiar with the conflict, asking as to whether an approach towards conflict resolution where Armenia would return some land to Azerbaijan in return for the latter providing access to regional energy and infrastructure projects could contribute towards breaking the stalemate. The “return of land”, in the context of our research, refers primarily to the seven districts of Azerbaijan which Armenian forces took during the Karabakh war of the 1990s and which remains under Armenian control to this day. We do not assume the “return of land” to mean the return of the Nagorno-Karabakh enclave itself. At the outset of our research, we were optimistic that the “economic incentives” approach could offer a fresh dimension to conflict resolution in relation to the current stalemate over Nagorno-Karabakh. We felt that all parties could exercise a degree of “Caucasus pragmatism” if the right arguments were appropriately presented to governments and public, bearing in mind the widespread desire to see the region “take off” economically. Click here to read more.
EGF Editorial |
Опубликовано на EGF: 27.10.2012
| External Relations
Introduction
Debates about the geopolitical, geo-economic and strategic significance of the wider-Black Sea (WBS)
region have become fashionable amongst Western policy makers and the international scholarly
community since the end of the Cold War. While the Black Sea represented a “front line” in the stand-off
between rival superpower blocks during an age which now seems to have slipped into the bygone days of
our youth, the major geopolitical realignments which have taken place in Eurasia during the last two
decades have evidently led to our “re-discovery” of one of the world’s most historically significant
geostrategic playing fields. READ MORE
Marat Terterov and George Niculescu |
Опубликовано на EGF: 31.07.2012
| External Relations
This policy brief examines the sources and limitations of Turkey’s relations with Russia since 2000 as well as the implications of Turkey’s lack of a clear vision for the Black Sea region for the future of its bilateral relations with Russia and the other international, regional and local actors in the Black Sea region. READ MORE
Dr. Oktay Tanrisever |
Опубликовано на EGF: 27.07.2012
| External Relations
The dynamics of NATO's role in the South Caucasus has been considered against the backdrop of
the Wider Black Sea since both geopolitical and policy reasons make the South Caucasus a too
narrow geopolitical scope for the analysis of NATO's policies. In fact, in contrast to the situation
before the Russo-Georgian war in 2008, the South Caucasus is currently very rarely referred as
such in NATO's statements, except for the cases where the Alliance is expressing concerns over
the settlement of the "frozen conflicts". READ MORE
George Vlad Niculescu |
Опубликовано на EGF: 08.03.2012
| External Relations
Executive Summary
On Monday, May 16, 2011, The European Geopolitical Forum staged a roundtable discussion on the
“Changing Dynamics of the Wider Black Sea in Regional Security and External Relations” at the Brussels
School of International Studies, University of Kent. The roundtable featured key international speakers: Dr.
Andrej Kreutz (Canada), renowned international relations specialist and author of the recent book, “Russia
in the Middle East: Friend or Foe?”; and Igor Muradyan (Armenia), an acclaimed public commentator on
the geopolitics and geo-economics of the Black Sea-Caucasus-Caspian area. The roundtable discussion also
drew participation of officials from the Turkish Embassy in Belgium, NATO International Staff Political
Affairs and Security Policy Division (IS PASP), the Mission of Ukraine to European Union, the Permanent
Mission of the Russian Federation to NATO, the Energy Charter Secretariat, TUSIAD, the Armenian
Federation of Europe, the Centre for East European and Asian Studies (Romania) and several other
interested stakeholders. READ MORE
EGF Editorial |
Опубликовано на EGF: 13.11.2011
| Security
Dr. Marat Terterov, Co-founder of the EGF, and Dr. George Vlad Niculescu, Head of Research, contributed to a newly published volume on: “Building Resilience against Human Security Threats and Risks: From Best Practices to Strategies” The volume was produced by the National Defence Academy of Austria in collaboration with the PfP Consortium of Defence Academies and Security Studies Institutes. It brought up multi-disciplinary arguments explaining how education fostered resilience by equipping people with the knowledge and skills to navigate risks and adapt to new challenges. This Handbook addressed risks and threats associated with climate change, energy, demographic, food, water, medical and financial security, human trafficking, cyber security, hybrid threats, psychological manipulation, violence in the digital domain, ethnic violence in unresolved conflicts, economic fragmentation, and trade disruptions in the South Caucasus and beyond. Regional cooperation is essential for building resilience against human security risks and threats, since effectively addressing many of them, including conflicts, environmental crises, pandemics, and transnational crime, require collective action that transcends national borders. READ MORE
EGF Affiliated Expert Yeghia TASHJIAN has recently co-authored a Policy Brief on “Lebanon’s Foreign Policy: Challenges and Recommendations”. The Brief called for a shift toward positive neutrality and pro-active diplomacy, with concrete reforms to strengthen Lebanon’s diplomatic role and global standing. The authors wondered in a conclusive way: “Can Lebanon reclaim its place on the international stage?” READ MORE
EGF Affiliated Expert Dr. Shanthie Mariet D’SOUZA has contributed to the collection published by Rosa Luxemburg Stiftung in Central Asia on: “Central Asia Facing the Challenges of Global Economic Transformation: Assessment and Forecasting”. Her report addressed “Evolving Trends in the Global Economy: Impact on India’s Long-Term Interests” She concluded that: “The global economy is changing in ways that unveils both opportunities and risks for India. The rise of protectionism, a splitting digital world, and competition over environmental policies are reshaping how countries work together. […] To adapt to the changing world order and help shape the emerging global economic order, India has to invest in its industries, strengthen partnerships, and create opportunities for its people. READ MORE (pp13-20)
EGF Affiliated Expert Benyamin POGHOSYAN was interviewed by the CIVILNET.AM on the prospects of Turkiye-Armenia relations. He analysed why Turkey’s role in the South Caucasus was underestimated and how Ankara’s “Azerbaijan First” policy would continue to constrain normalization with Yerevan. He discussed the pressure Azerbaijan exerted on Turkey to keep Armenia weak, and what President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan’s remarks about “symbolic steps” toward Armenia might mean. WATCH HERE
Between 07-10 November 2024, Dr Marat TERTEROV and Dr George Vlad NICULESCU participated in the 28th workshop of the Regional Stability in the South Caucasus Study Group of the PfP Consortium of Defence Academies and Security Studies Institutes on “Connectivity Risks and Opportunities in the South Caucasus”, held in Reichenau a/d Rax (Austria). Please click here for the programme and agenda outline, here for George’s speaking points, here for the policy recommendations, and here for the proceedings of the workshop
Between 10-13 April 2025, Dr George Vlad NICULESCU participated in the 29th workshop of the Regional Stability in the South Caucasus Study Group of the PfP Consortium of Defence Academies and Security Studies Institutes on “Emerging Technologies in Conflict Prevention: Leveraging Technology for Peacebuilding in the South Caucasus”, held in Istanbul (Turkey). Please click here for the programme and agenda outline, and here for George’s speaking points.
On June 3, 2025, Dr. George Vlad Niculescu gave a short brief on the outcomes and potential implications of Romania’s 2025 presidential elections to the “Neighbourhoods” Working Group of the Institute of European Studies de l’Université UCLouvain, site de Saint-Louis-Brussels. Read here his briefing.