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EGF
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Friday 23 May 2025

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Publication
Feb. 2015. EGF Gazprom Monitor

A Snapshot of Key Developments in the External Relations of the Russian Gas Sector
By Dr Jack Sharples, EGF Associate Researcher on the external dimensions of Russian gas and Lecturer in Energy Politics at the European University of St Petersburg

  • Gazprom and the EU: European Commission could present the results of its antimonopoly investigation into Gazprom ‘in a matter of weeks’
  • Turkish Stream: Gazprom CEO and Turkish Minister of Energy and Natural Resources visit intended ‘Turkish Stream’ pipeline route; Turkish Botaş receives 10 percent discount on gas imports from Gazprom; Turkish Stream: Pro et Contra
  • Ukraine: The ‘winter package’; A new dispute over gas supplies to the Donbass; Gazprom awaits advance payments for March gas supplies as time runs out on the ‘winter package’
  • Belarus: Gazprom Transgaz Belarus named ‘top taxpayer’ in Belarus; Belarus settles payments for Russian gas in roubles; Gazprom to invest in Belarusian gas transmission and gas storage
  • China: Gazprom seeks Asian investment and loans, receives top credit rating from Chinese agency; Gazprom promises exports to China still on schedule
READ MORE

  • EGF Editorial  |  Опубликовано на EGF: 16.03.2015  |  External Relations
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Jan. 2015. EGF Gazprom Monitor

A Snapshot of Key Developments in the External Relations of the Russian Gas Sector
By Dr Jack Sharples, EGF Associate Researcher on the external dimensions of Russian gas and Lecturer in Energy Politics at the European University of St Petersburg

  • Gazprom and the EU: European Commission again delays ruling on Gazprom’s usage of the OPAL pipeline
  • Nord Stream: Gazprom abandons plans for Nord Stream extension
  • South Stream: Gazprom agrees to buy out its European partners in South Stream Transport
  • Turkish Stream: Gazprom agrees on a route for ‘Turkish Stream’ with its Turkish partners, as Botaş is named as the Turkish representative in the project
    - Is Gazprom’s determination to reduce dependence on Ukrainian gas transit realistic?
  • Ukraine: Gazprom calls on Naftogaz to pay its debts and reminds them that the ‘Winter Package’ will end on the 1st of April
  • Belarus: Gazprom could shut down its representative office and concentrate its activities in the HQ of its Belarusian subsidiary, Gazprom Transgaz Belarus
  • China: Gazprom launches increased gas production in the Yamal Peninsula, leading to speculation that this gas is destined for export to China
    - Gazprom Marketing & Trading Singapore signs long-term contract with Yamal LNG
READ MORE

  • EGF Editorial  |  Опубликовано на EGF: 04.02.2015  |  External Relations
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Dec. 2014. EGF Gazprom Monitor  PDF  (539 Kb)

A Snapshot of Key Developments in the External Relations of the Russian Gas Sector
By Dr Jack Sharples, EGF Associate Researcher on the external dimensions of Russian gas and Lecturer in Energy Politics at the European University of St Petersburg

  • European Commission extends deadline for final decision on OPAL pipeline to the end of January 2015
  • Gazprom and BASF abandon asset-swap agreement
  • Gazprom resumes gas supplies to Ukraine, the first since June 2014
    - Background of the dispute
    - The importance of gas storage reserves in Ukraine
  • Gazprom signs new gas supply and transit contracts with Belarus to cover 2015-17
  • Russia and China sign framework agreement on second pipeline, via the ‘western route’
    - Background of the ‘eastern route’
    - Comparing the two projects
  • Estonia imports first gas via Lithuania, a symbolic first step away from Russia
READ MORE

  • EGF Editorial  |  Опубликовано на EGF: 13.01.2015  |  External Relations
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Nov. 2014. EGF Gazprom Monitor  PDF  (1 Mb)

Special Report on South Stream as Gazprom Abandons the Project and Announces a New Gas Pipeline to Turkey
By Dr Jack Sharples, EGF Associate Researcher on the external dimensions of Russian gas and Lecturer in Energy Politics at the European University of St Petersburg

Special In-Depth Report on South Stream
Gazprom abandons project, proposes new pipeline to Turkey
On the 1st of December, the Russian President, Vladimir Putin, made a significant announcement: the South Stream gas pipeline project has been abandoned, and Gazprom is proposing a pipeline to Turkey as a replacement.
The in-depth report that follows provides background information on the South Stream project, and highlights the difficulties faced by the project long before the decision was taken to abandon it. The report then considers the merits of the proposed alternative – a pipeline to Turkey – before concluding with an analysis of the winners and losers from the decision to abandon South Stream. READ MORE

  • EGF Editorial  |  Опубликовано на EGF: 11.12.2014  |  External Relations
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Oct. 2014. EGF Gazprom Monitor  PDF  (411 Kb)

A Snapshot of Key Developments in the External Relations of the Russian Gas Sector
By Dr Jack Sharples, EGF Associate Researcher on the external dimensions of Russian gas and Lecturer in Energy Politics at the European University of St Petersburg

Key points:

  • European Commission further postpones ruling on use of OPAL pipeline
  • Gazprom and Wintershall finalise asset-swap, as Gazprom gains control of Europe’s largest underground gas storage facility (UGSF)
  • Lithuania breaks free of Gazprom monopoly with first LNG delivery
  • Gazprom and Naftogaz agree on short-term ‘winter package’ until March 2015 to ensure gas supplies and transit during the upcoming winter
  • Nord Stream: Nord Stream AG deny reports that plans to extend Nord Stream to the UK will be shelved amid tensions between Russia and the EU
  • South Stream: Hungarian MVM shows its support for Gazprom with gas storage deal; MVM also pledges to complete the Hungarian section of South Stream by 2017
  • Gazprom CEO holds talks, discusses funding from Chinese banks and gas supply via the ‘Western Route’
  • Gazprom refills Serbian gas storage facility to capacity in preparation for winter
READ MORE

  • EGF Editorial  |  Опубликовано на EGF: 05.11.2014  |  External Relations
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Sep. 2014. EGF Gazprom Monitor  PDF  (427 Kb)

A Snapshot of Key Developments in the External Relations of the Russian Gas Sector
By Dr Jack Sharples, EGF Associate Researcher on the external dimensions of Russian gas and Lecturer in Energy Politics at the European University of St Petersburg

Key points:

  • EU antitrust investigation: suspended but not finished
  • Lithuanian government continues with arbitration case against Gazprom
  • Gazprom struggles to meet European gas demand beyond contracted levels as winter approaches
  • European gas prices continue to fall – Gazprom could face revenue shortage
  • Gazprom and Ukraine – new round of trilateral gas talks imminent as winter approaches
  • Gazprom reduces gas supplies to Poland, Slovakia, and Austria – a warning against ‘reverse flow’?
  • Hungary sides with Gazprom against Ukraine
  • Nord Stream: European Commission delays decision on OPAL pipeline until 31st of October
  • South Stream: EU cannot halt South Stream construction, but threatens action upon completion of the pipeline
  • South Stream: EU puts pressure on Serbia to halt South Stream construction
  • Gazprom could sign second contract for gas deliveries to China, this time via the ‘Western Route’
  • Gazprom agrees to expand the capacity of Blue Stream pipeline from 16 bcm to 19 bcm per year
READ MORE

  • EGF Editorial  |  Опубликовано на EGF: 14.10.2014  |  External Relations
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Aug. 2014. EGF Gazprom Monitor  PDF  (403 Kb)

A Snapshot of Key Developments in the External Relations of the Russian Gas Sector
By Jack Sharples, EGF Associate Researcher on the external dimensions of Russian gas

Key points:

  • EU antitrust investigation into Gazprom – victim of the deterioration in EU-Russia relations?
  • Nord Stream - Russian sources report imminent ruling from European Commission on OPAL pipeline
  • South Stream - Bulgaria halts work on South Stream for a second time. Or does it?; Srbijagas announces that work is proceeding as scheduled, despite last month’s warning from the EU that the project should be halted
  • Gazprom and Ukraine - Ukrainian Energy Ministry proposes ‘interim’ agreement with Gazprom, pending results of arbitration; Naftogaz opens pipeline from Slovakia; Ukrainian parliament votes to allow leasing of gas transmission system; Naftogaz returns $10m of ‘unused’ transit fees to Gazprom
  • Asia-Pacific region - Gazprom launches construction of ‘Power of Siberia’ gas pipeline to China
  • Gazprom takes delivery of its fifth LNG tanker, brings fleet capacity to 800,000 m3; Gazprom gas production in 2014 expected to fall vs. 2013
READ MORE

  • EGF Editorial  |  Опубликовано на EGF: 11.09.2014  |  External Relations
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Jul. 2014. EGF Gazprom Monitor  PDF  (394 Kb)

A Snapshot of Key Developments in the External Relations of the Russian Gas Sector
By Jack Sharples, EGF Associate Researcher on the external dimensions of Russian gas

Key points:

  • Gazprom and the EU – EU antitrust investigators continue to prepare ‘statement of objections’; Gazprom excluded from expanded EU sanctions list
  • Nord Stream – Planned capacity auction for OPAL cancelled, as European Commission postpones ruling indefinitely
  • South Stream - Gazprom subsidiary Centrgaz is awarded the construction contract for South Stream in Serbia; Bulgarian government willing to listen to the European Commission over South Stream; European Commission recommends that Serbia halt work on South Stream pending legal clarifications
  • Gazprom and Ukraine - Naftogaz and Ukrainian government announce plan to avoid Russian gas imports until March 2015; Ukrainian government and Naftogaz disagree over reports of reduced gas deliveries from Europe to Ukraine; Gazprom and Naftogaz arbitration cases could be combined
  • Asia-Pacific region - Gazprom continues design process for proposed Vladivostok LNG terminal
  • Elena Burmistrova replaces Alexander Medvedev as Director-General of Gazprom Export
READ MORE

  • EGF Editorial  |  Опубликовано на EGF: 12.08.2014  |  External Relations
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Jun. 2014. EGF Gazprom Monitor  PDF  (402 Kb)

A Snapshot of Key Developments in the External Relations of the Russian Gas Sector
By Jack Sharples, EGF Associate Researcher on the external dimensions of Russian gas

Key points:

  • Lithuania’s competition authority fines Gazprom $48m for ‘failing to comply with merger conditions’ in relation to its shareholding in Lietuvos Dujos, thus stifling competition in Lithuania’s gas market
  • Gazprom sells its stakes in Lietuvos Dujos and Amber Grid
  • European gas companies negotiated an average discount of 20 percent in 2013-14, according to Cedigaz
  • Gazprom implements prepayment in Ukraine, meaning that Naftogaz will only receive gas for which it has already paid. Given that Naftogaz failed to pay up front for its June gas supplies, the practical result was the suspension of Gazprom deliveries to Naftogaz
  • Bulgaria halts construction of South Stream, pending EU concerns over the tender process for its construction on Bulgarian territory
  • Gazprom and OMV confirm Austria’s entry into the South Stream project
  • Gazprom expects $25bn pre-payment in China gas deal, but terms yet to be finalised
  • Rosneft claims that a Gazprom monopoly on domestic pipelines in the Russian Far East would be illegal, and promises legal action to secure its right to supply Russian consumers in the region
  • Results of Gazprom's Annual General Meeting of Shareholders
READ MORE

  • EGF Editorial  |  Опубликовано на EGF: 15.07.2014  |  External Relations
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May. 2014. EGF Gazprom Monitor  PDF  (534 Kb)

A Snapshot of Key Developments in the External Relations of the Russian Gas Sector
By Jack Sharples, EGF Associate Researcher on the external dimensions of Russian gas and Lecturer in Energy Politics at the European University of St Petersburg

Key points:

  • Special report on the Gazprom-CNPC gas deal: Gazprom was always unlikely to achieve ‘European’ prices for its gas exports to China, but the deal with CNPC is crucial to the development of gas production and transportation in East Siberia and Russia’s Far East
  • In-depth report on the latest developments in the Gazprom-Naftogaz dispute: Gazprom switches to pre-payment, and demands that Naftogaz pay up front for its June gas supplies. If Naftogaz fails to pay by the 2nd of June, Gazprom’s supplies to Naftogaz to could be halted the following day
  • EU antitrust damages directive approved by European Parliament, and passed to EU Council of Ministers for final approval
  • Gazprom and Lietuvos Dujos reach agreement on gas price for Lithuania, as Lithuania continues to negotiate for alternative supplies
  • Eni signs landmark agreement with Gazprom to switch to spot pricing in existing long-term gas supply contract
  • South Stream could get a 32 bcm spur from Hungary to Austria
  • Gazprom Marketing and Trading Ltd and CNPC each agree to buy 3 million tonnes of LNG per year for the next 20 years from Novatek’s Yamal LNG project
READ MORE

  • EGF Editorial  |  Опубликовано на EGF: 03.06.2014  |  External Relations
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EGF Head of Research, Dr. George Vlad NICULESCU, co-edited a new volume on “Understanding Contemporary Information Landscape Handbook (UCIL)” with the Austrian National Defence Academy and the PfP Consortium of Defence Academies and Security Studies Institutes: “The idea of this Handbook sprang forth from a policy recommendation issued at a past Regional Stability in the South Caucasus Study Group (RSSC SG) workshop: “Create, with the assistance of PfP Consortium volunteers, a Reference Curriculum on Media Literacy, emphasizing the impact of modern communication techniques and social media on human biology, psychology and behaviour. The aim would be to raise awareness of the media as a tool of hybrid warfare, and how to build resilience to it at individual level.” Looking with an academic eye at the final product of our last three years of work I’d conclude that this Handbook is a great success as a valuable education tool for students and teachers in media studies, politics, international relations. READ MORE

EGF Affiliated Expert Benyamin POGHOSYAN appeared in a new episode of the GROONG Podcast where he discussed the negotiations on a US-Iran nuclear deal, the status and prospects of Armenia-Azerbaijan peace process, and the significance and implications of the Victory Day military parade in Moscow. WATCH HERE

EGF Affiliated Expert Nika CHITADZE published a new book on “World Politics” with the International Black Sea University from Tbilisi, Georgia. The book is divided into four main parts: first part is dedicated to the history and theory of world politics; second part analyses key processes in world politics, such as: globalization, integration, and democratization. Third part describes the basic challenges facing the international community, including arms control and security, conflicts, terrorism, organized crime, failed states, demography, migration, environment, relations between the “Global North” and the “Global South”. The fourth part reviews the main aspects of regulating the political processes in the world with the methods and instruments of foreign policy and diplomacy, and global governance. READ HERE

EGF Affiliated Expert Yeghia TASHJIAN was recently interviewed by the "New Arab" on how developments in Syria impacted Hezbollah's politics and how the Lebanese government should carefully manage its relations with the new administration in Damascus. He was quoted saying: “Hezbollah lost its main Syrian regional power base and key political support system when support for the Assad regime ended. Syria was also an important transit country for smuggling Iranian missiles and weapons to Lebanon. Now that this transit is gone and amid Israeli pressure, Hezbollah feels squeezed between Israel from the south and sky and Syria from the East.” READ MORE

 

Between 07-10 November 2024, Dr Marat TERTEROV and Dr George Vlad NICULESCU participated in the 28th workshop of the Regional Stability in the South Caucasus Study Group of the PfP Consortium of Defence Academies and Security Studies Institutes on “Connectivity Risks and Opportunities in the South Caucasus”, held in Reichenau a/d Rax (Austria). Please click here for the programme and agenda outline, here for George’s speaking points, here for the policy recommendations, and here for the proceedings of the workshop

Between 10-13 April 2025, Dr George Vlad NICULESCU participated in the 29th workshop of the Regional Stability in the South Caucasus Study Group of the PfP Consortium of Defence Academies and Security Studies Institutes on “Emerging Technologies in Conflict Prevention: Leveraging Technology for Peacebuilding in the South Caucasus”, held in Istanbul (Turkey). Please click here for the programme and agenda outline, and here for George’s speaking points.

  • The Daily BriefMay 19, 2025
  • Stratfor 2018 Second-Quarter ForecastMarch 11, 2018
  • Stratfor 2018 Annual ForecastDecember 26, 2017
More
EGF Featured Publication from Affiliated Expert Fuad Shahbazov
EGF Featured Publication from Affiliated Expert Fuad Shahbazov
EGF Featured Publication from Affiliated Expert Alan Whitehorn
EGF Featured Publication from Affiliated Expert Alan Whitehorn

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