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EGF
The European Geopolitical Forum

Thursday 18 December 2025

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Publication
Energy in Russia’s foreign policy  PDF  (2 Mb)

“What lessons can we learn from the Soviet collapse and apply to the current situation in Russia?
First, we must remember that Russia today is an oil-dependent economy. No one can accurately predict the fluctuations of oil prices. The collapse of the Soviet Union should serve as a lesson to those who construct policy based on the assumption that oil prices will remain perpetually high. It would seem that in our country, which has lived through the collapse of the late 1980s and early 1990s, this fact would be evident. But as soon as the prices went up again at the beginning of 2000 and in 2004 became comparable in real terms to those at the beginning of the 1980s, the idea that ‘high oil revenues are forever’ has gained an even wider acceptance.

  • Kari Liuhto  |  Опубликовано на EGF: 20.05.2010  |  Energy
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Changing EU Energy Legislation: Practical Scenarios for Strengthening the EU-Russia Energy Partnership  PDF  (162 Kb) Members only

Energy Roundtable Summary Document

The EU-Russia energy roundtable discussion held at the Institute of World Economy and International Relations (IMEMO) on February 26, 2010, brought together a significant number of well known experts and policy makers engaged in the EU-Russia energy relationship in order to assess some of the challenges which presently exist in this sphere. Some of these challenges are summarised below. The objectives of the seminar organisers were to create an environment in which experts and policy makers could openly and candidly discuss the challenges standing before the EU-Russia energy relationship. The roundtable was also attended by a large number of participants from academia, government, energy companies and the diplomatic community.

  • EGF Editorial  |  Опубликовано на EGF: 17.05.2010  |  Energy
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EGF Foreign Policy Briefing: Russian Relations with the Syrian Arab Republic  PDF  (58 Kb) Members only

Although Russia is now concentrating on its near abroad (the states and territories of the former Soviet Union), not global domination, for both geo-political and strategic reasons, the Arab and Muslim countries of the Middle East are of substantial and even growing interest to Moscow. Its bilateral relations with Syria are of particular importance for both parties and are not without impact on the whole region.

  • Andrej Kreutz  |  Опубликовано на EGF: 05.05.2010  |  External Relations
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Gazprom’s Partner ENI Loses Confidence in South Stream

Italy’s ENI chief executive, Paolo Scaroni, has proposed unifying the Gazprom-led South Stream with the European Union-backed Nabucco pipeline project. The Italian state-controlled energy conglomerate ENI is the key technological and commercial partner to Gazprom in South Stream, the project aimed at transporting gas from Russia across the Black Sea to Europe

  • Vladimir Socor  |  Опубликовано на EGF: 21.03.2010  |  Energy
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Russian Oil & Gas Strategy: What does it mean for the global oil markets?  Power Point  (2 Mb)

Presentation on "17th MIDDLE EAST PETROLEUM&GAS CONFERENCE"

  • Tatiana Mitrova  |  Опубликовано на EGF: 20.01.2010  |  Energy
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Russian Relations to the Gulf Region in a Changing Geopolitical Environment  PDF  (375 Kb)

Scholars of most academic disciplines across the social sciences have a fondness for comparing different regions in order to evaluate :

  • why one may be developing more rapidly than another,

  • why democracy may be stalled in one region or flourishing in another,

  • why the benefits foreseen by economic reform have proven less conclusive in some regions when compared to others...

  • Dr. Marat Terterov  |  Опубликовано на EGF: 15.01.2010  |  External Relations
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Political Risk and Threat Advisory Briefing: Putting Putin’s Russia Strategy into Perspective Members only

In the spring of 2009 Russia remains in the midst of deep recession, as the country seeks to pull itself out of the biggest economic crisis faced since 1998. The political challenge this poses to the current Russian government of Prime Minister and former-President, Vladimir Putin, is substantial...

  • Dr. Marat Terterov  |  Опубликовано на EGF: 08.05.2010  |  Energy
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Russia in the global economic storm  PDF  (72 Kb)

Russia has been badly affected by the economic crisis, because in the boom years - when it was able to rely on oil and gas exports - it had not diversified its economic base or introduced any major structural economic reforms, speakers agreed at an EPC Policy Dialogue organised with the Calouste Gulbenkian Foundation and with World Bank support. They hoped the crisis would spur Moscow to introduce reforms, particularly to modernise the banking sector, public administration and governance structures.

  • Event Report  |  Опубликовано на EGF: 06.05.2009  |  Markets
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Dr. Marat Terterov, Co-founder of the EGF, and Dr. George Vlad Niculescu, Head of Research, contributed to a newly published volume on: “Building Resilience against Human Security Threats and Risks: From Best Practices to Strategies” The volume was produced by the National Defence Academy of Austria in collaboration with the PfP Consortium of Defence Academies and Security Studies Institutes. It brought up multi-disciplinary arguments explaining how education fostered resilience by equipping people with the knowledge and skills to navigate risks and adapt to new challenges. This Handbook addressed risks and threats associated with climate change, energy, demographic, food, water, medical and financial security, human trafficking, cyber security, hybrid threats, psychological manipulation, violence in the digital domain, ethnic violence in unresolved conflicts, economic fragmentation, and trade disruptions in the South Caucasus and beyond. Regional cooperation is essential for building resilience against human security risks and threats, since effectively addressing many of them, including conflicts, environmental crises, pandemics, and transnational crime, require collective action that transcends national borders. READ MORE

EGF Affiliated Expert Yeghia TASHJIAN has recently co-authored a Policy Brief on “Lebanon’s Foreign Policy: Challenges and Recommendations”. The Brief called for a shift toward positive neutrality and pro-active diplomacy, with concrete reforms to strengthen Lebanon’s diplomatic role and global standing. The authors wondered in a conclusive way: “Can Lebanon reclaim its place on the international stage?” READ MORE

EGF Affiliated Expert Dr. Shanthie Mariet D’SOUZA has contributed a new opinion piece to “The DIPLOMAT” on “Lessons in Peace Building and Conflict Resolution from Fergana”. She concluded that “In an era marked by global turbulence, rising geopolitical tensions, and deepening distrust between nations, the Fergana Valley has the potential to be a model for building interstate relations, collective identity and regional connectivity.” READ MORE

EGF Affiliated Expert Benyamin POGHOSYAN appeared in a new episode of the GROONG Podcast where he discussed: the current status in the Ukraine war, latest developments in US-Russia relations; Armenian domestic politics; Armenia-Azerbaijan border demarcation and the issue of enclaves; issues in recent Armenia-Azerbaijan civil society dialogue in Yerevan. WATCH HERE

 

Between 07-10 November 2024, Dr Marat TERTEROV and Dr George Vlad NICULESCU participated in the 28th workshop of the Regional Stability in the South Caucasus Study Group of the PfP Consortium of Defence Academies and Security Studies Institutes on “Connectivity Risks and Opportunities in the South Caucasus”, held in Reichenau a/d Rax (Austria). Please click here for the programme and agenda outline, here for George’s speaking points, here for the policy recommendations, and here for the proceedings of the workshop

Between 10-13 April 2025, Dr George Vlad NICULESCU participated in the 29th workshop of the Regional Stability in the South Caucasus Study Group of the PfP Consortium of Defence Academies and Security Studies Institutes on “Emerging Technologies in Conflict Prevention: Leveraging Technology for Peacebuilding in the South Caucasus”, held in Istanbul (Turkey). Please click here for the programme and agenda outline, and here for George’s speaking points.

On June 3, 2025, Dr. George Vlad Niculescu gave a short brief on the outcomes and potential implications of Romania’s 2025 presidential elections to the “Neighbourhoods” Working Group of the Institute of European Studies de l’Université UCLouvain, site de Saint-Louis-Brussels. Read here his briefing.

  • The Daily BriefDecember 5, 2025
  • Stratfor 2018 Second-Quarter ForecastMarch 11, 2018
  • Stratfor 2018 Annual ForecastDecember 26, 2017
More
EGF Featured Publication from Affiliated Expert Fuad Shahbazov
EGF Featured Publication from Affiliated Expert Fuad Shahbazov
EGF Featured Publication from Affiliated Expert Alan Whitehorn
EGF Featured Publication from Affiliated Expert Alan Whitehorn

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