“What lessons can we learn from the Soviet collapse and apply to the current situation in Russia?
First, we must remember that Russia today is an oil-dependent economy. No one can accurately predict the fluctuations of oil prices. The collapse of the Soviet Union should serve as a lesson to those who construct policy based on the assumption that oil prices will remain perpetually high. It would seem that in our country, which has lived through the collapse of the late 1980s and early 1990s, this fact would be evident. But as soon as the prices went up again at the beginning of 2000 and in 2004 became comparable in real terms to those at the beginning of the 1980s, the idea that ‘high oil revenues are forever’ has gained an even wider acceptance.
Kari Liuhto |
Опубликовано на EGF: 20.05.2010
| Energy
The EU-Russia energy roundtable discussion held at the Institute of World Economy and International Relations (IMEMO) on February 26, 2010, brought together a significant number of well known experts and policy makers engaged in the EU-Russia energy relationship in order to assess some of the challenges which presently exist in this sphere. Some of these challenges are summarised below. The objectives of the seminar organisers were to create an environment in which experts and policy makers could openly and candidly discuss the challenges standing before the EU-Russia energy relationship. The roundtable was also attended by a large number of participants from academia, government, energy companies and the diplomatic community.
EGF Editorial |
Опубликовано на EGF: 17.05.2010
| Energy
Although Russia is now concentrating on its near abroad (the states and territories of the former Soviet Union), not global domination, for both geo-political and strategic reasons, the Arab and Muslim countries of the Middle East are of substantial and even growing interest to Moscow. Its bilateral relations with Syria are of particular importance for both parties and are not without impact on the whole region.
Andrej Kreutz |
Опубликовано на EGF: 05.05.2010
| External Relations
Italy’s ENI chief executive, Paolo Scaroni, has proposed unifying the Gazprom-led South Stream with the European Union-backed Nabucco pipeline project. The Italian state-controlled energy conglomerate ENI is the key technological and commercial partner to Gazprom in South Stream, the project aimed at transporting gas from Russia across the Black Sea to Europe
Vladimir Socor |
Опубликовано на EGF: 21.03.2010
| Energy
In the spring of 2009 Russia remains in the midst of deep recession, as the country seeks to pull itself out of the biggest economic crisis faced since 1998. The political challenge this poses to the current Russian government of Prime Minister and former-President, Vladimir Putin, is substantial...
Dr. Marat Terterov |
Опубликовано на EGF: 08.05.2010
| Energy
Russia has been badly affected by the economic crisis, because in the boom years - when it was able to rely on oil and gas exports - it had not diversified its economic base or introduced any major structural economic reforms, speakers agreed at an EPC Policy Dialogue organised with the Calouste Gulbenkian Foundation and with World Bank support. They hoped the crisis would spur Moscow to introduce reforms, particularly to modernise the banking sector, public administration and governance structures.
Event Report |
Опубликовано на EGF: 06.05.2009
| Markets
EGF Affiliated Expert Yeghia TASHJIAN has recently published a chapter on “The International North-South Transport Corridor and the Belt and Road Initiative in the South Caucasus” of the “Routledge Handbook of China's Belt and Road Initiative in Eurasia”. He examined how multipolarity triggered by building connectivity ‘corridors’ has impacted the behaviour of the local actors in the South Caucasus as they jockeyed for positions in the regional system. Taking into consideration the Russo-Ukrainian and Nagorno-Karabakh wars and the geopolitical and geo-economic shifts, the chapter focused on the impact of the International North-South Transport Corridor (INSTC) and Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) on the South Caucasus and wider Eurasian connectivity in an evolving multipolar world order. READ MORE (under paywall)
EGF Affiliated Expert, Dr. Shanthie Mariet D’SOUZA was interviewed by “Al Jazeera” on India’s shifting relations with China and the U.S. in the context of Prime-Minister Narendra Modi’s participation to the latest SCO summit in Tianjin (China). WATCH HERE
EGF Affiliated Expert Benyamin POGHOSYAN appeared in a new episode of the GROONG Podcast where he discussed: the Shanghai Cooperation Organization summit, the TRIPP corridor, Russia- Azerbaijan rift, and Armenia’s ties with the UK. WATCH HERE
EGF Affiliated Expert Alan WHITEHORN published recently a short comment on “Trump and the South Caucasus Accord” on keghart.org. He concluded that: “If Armenia survives over the next decade with no further loss of military personnel or territory due to incremental border encroachments or war, the tripartite agreement may be considered a minor win also for Yerevan”. READ MORE
Between 07-10 November 2024, Dr Marat TERTEROV and Dr George Vlad NICULESCU participated in the 28th workshop of the Regional Stability in the South Caucasus Study Group of the PfP Consortium of Defence Academies and Security Studies Institutes on “Connectivity Risks and Opportunities in the South Caucasus”, held in Reichenau a/d Rax (Austria). Please click here for the programme and agenda outline, here for George’s speaking points, here for the policy recommendations, and here for the proceedings of the workshop
Between 10-13 April 2025, Dr George Vlad NICULESCU participated in the 29th workshop of the Regional Stability in the South Caucasus Study Group of the PfP Consortium of Defence Academies and Security Studies Institutes on “Emerging Technologies in Conflict Prevention: Leveraging Technology for Peacebuilding in the South Caucasus”, held in Istanbul (Turkey). Please click here for the programme and agenda outline, and here for George’s speaking points.
On June 3, 2025, Dr. George Vlad Niculescu gave a short brief on the outcomes and potential implications of Romania’s 2025 presidential elections to the “Neighbourhoods” Working Group of the Institute of European Studies de l’Université UCLouvain, site de Saint-Louis-Brussels. Read here his briefing.